Minimize

Welcome!

From the PDAC 20106

ker
March 12, 2016

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show


Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Discussion
222 Comments
    Mar 12, 2016 12:26 AM

    The weekend show was a bit late posting, very poor service , I want my money back…………………………………………………………………………….Just kidding.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:44 AM

      You into the “hair of the dog” again. Or you you celebrating running out the snakes a bit early?

      Your credit card will be credited!

        Mar 12, 2016 12:54 AM

        Al…Theres no more snakes in the Isle of Guinness.
        They are now residing in the City of London , (square mile )..Westminster..
        Wall St..& Wash & Rinse DC.

          Mar 12, 2016 12:57 AM

          BTW..I do NOT possess a credit card, but I do have a debit card , therefore I can not spend what I don’t have.

    Ann
    Mar 12, 2016 12:31 AM

    lol

      Mar 12, 2016 12:45 AM

      Ann, your credit card will also be credited.

      By the way, I am not sure what happened.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:48 AM

        Al hope everything is improving with You & Kathy health wise.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:46 AM

    Glad to see everything is OK…………….

    Mar 12, 2016 12:47 AM

    Re. Segment 5…Cashless = More theft & More control.
    Governments are just the Eunuchs of the Bankers.
    Next move RFID chips or you go hungry.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:53 AM

    Trump……….pumps up the crowd in OHIO………

      Mar 12, 2016 12:01 AM

      Trump…….blows up the crowd in DC……………..that’s the headline I would like to see.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:05 AM

      “WE THE PEOPLE”………..are ticked…….

        Mar 12, 2016 12:14 AM

        AL…….”WE THE PEOPLE”……are just mucking around.

          Mar 12, 2016 12:18 AM

          Jerry….The charting guys will be coming in soon to get down to serious business, so we best behave.

          Mar 12, 2016 12:28 AM

          Not really!

        Mar 12, 2016 12:27 AM

        To say the least, Box!

      Mar 12, 2016 12:26 AM

      Actually kind of a critical state along with Florida and .NC for him.

      How about a ticket like Trump and Carson?

        Mar 12, 2016 12:38 AM

        Could be real interesting…..I think Carson is a good man, hope he can get up to speed.

          Mar 12, 2016 12:47 AM

          He would, in my opinion, make a great VP

          Mar 13, 2016 13:21 AM

          Good men don’t run with NY liberals like Donald “I hate the concept of guns” Trump.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:42 AM

            All have sinned, ……..and none are good………

            Mar 13, 2016 13:43 AM

            “all” have fallen short……….

            Mar 13, 2016 13:01 PM

            Cruz and Carson……..are the closest to be good men. But, if , you do some background checks on these , they might have some cracks which give them some faults. I have listened to CRUZ’S dad,……..and I believe he is preaching a good message, concerning the constitution and WE THE PEOPLE, GIVE AUTHORITY TO THE GOVT. NOT THE OTHER WAY, ….that the Govt. thinks it is……..I will be digging deeper on the remain people, but, it is for sure………..WE DO NOT NEED BILLY AND HILLY

            Mar 13, 2016 13:43 PM

            Cruz, has some explaining to do, concerning…..GOLDMAN and his wife on her actions under the Bush Adm.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:24 PM

            THE ENTIRE CREW………both sides are a JOKE……….there is no one.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:42 AM

        Al. I believe Carson pulled out, & is now backing Trump, not sure where I read it.

          Mar 12, 2016 12:46 AM

          He did, but that does not take him out of the picture as Vp

    CFS
    Mar 12, 2016 12:43 AM

    OFF TOPIC:
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-03-12/we-have-never-seen-anything-swedes-stunned-unreal-surge-refugee-sex-attacks

    I have a solution…….impose Swedish Sharia Law.
    Castrate the offenders.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:47 AM

      Would that be called……Swedish meat balls……….

        CFS
        Mar 12, 2016 12:25 AM

        Syrian Prairie Oysters?

    Mar 12, 2016 12:52 AM

    On March 12, 2016 at 10:05 am,
    Frank from moscow CCF says:
    “WE THE PEOPLE”………..are ticked…….””””””

    YES WE ARE PISSED OFF!

    CFS
    Mar 12, 2016 12:53 AM

    Hillary Clinton:
    The fat lady might not be singing, but Bryan Pagliano is.

    CFS
    Mar 12, 2016 12:59 AM

    Hillary will be begging the Big Zero to use his pen.

    To give her a pardon.
    I hope he just sends her to Benghazi, without any secret service protection.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:00 AM

    A2A with Bill Murphy of GATA

    What a great day for an A2A with Bill Murphy. Is the bear market over? Are the bottoms in? Do The Manipulators have their collective backs to the wall? For these answers and more, come on in and have a listen!

    Over the course of this 30-minute discussion, Bill addresses:

    Today’s turnaround in gold and silver after the QE announcements from the ECB.
    Is this 2016 “the real thing” and the start of a new bull market in the metals?
    Is there any limit to the seemingly infinite amount of paper metal in the world?
    The huge additions to the major gold ETFs so far in 2016
    And much, much more!

    Thanks again to Bill for a rollicking good time on this call. And please be sure to support GATA. They are an indispensable ally in this fight against The Bullion Bank Cartel. You can financially assist their efforts by clicking here:

    link to podcast…http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/podcast/7501/a2a-bill-murphy-gata

    TF

      Mar 12, 2016 12:31 AM

      I have always liked Murph and Chris.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:09 PM

        Al…they have kept a lot of folks informed about the gold market for years. Do you own a t-shirt?..link…http://gata.org/tshirts

        This poster’s comment about that podcast stands above all else….

        Submitted by Clarki Stomias on March 10, 2016 – 5:09pm. Hat Tip! 44

        That man is a delight. What a hopeful spirit. Sure he’s a bit of a permabull on gold, but I sure hope he gets to see the commercial signal failure he yearns for. He has thanklessly fought the good fight for far too long to go unrewarded. Couldn’t wipe the smile away from my face the whole time he was talking.

        And his uncontainable laughter following your request for a one-word adjective for Jeffrey Christian! Classic. You could hear him struggling to produce a G-rated word he could respond with. Great A2A, Craig. Amazing how much someone with a positive outlook can brighten your day. Thanks. I needed that.

        ____

        edit: BTW, if we ever do get a commercial signal failure, I think Turdville should pull together and buy him a gold-painted, single-bar, old-timey football helmet as a symbolic trophy for his victory over the gold cartel.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:03 AM

    I just noticed the UUP non leveraged US$ ETF has touched the lower bollinger band. Something could happen soon to give the dollar a bounce such as another quarter % hike in interest rates as the market gets stronger and heads toward 2100.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:12 PM

      I think it is pretty certain that they will raise rates this week.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:07 AM

    TF metals snippet…Below are links to a couple of articles by Karl Denninger over at market-ticker. Denninger was ambivalent toward Trump but found that his plan for health care includes enforcing existing laws against much of what Big Pharma and cartel healthcare do. Denninger believes that a president who would simply have the executive branch enforce existing laws against restriction of trade could make huge changes in the health care industry and lower costs.

    http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=231191

      Mar 12, 2016 12:32 AM

      I would agree.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:08 AM

    Are there any Dent subscribers here and what do you think about his opinions? He is calling for a major collapse of the markets and real estate starting within months as baby boomers have reached the age that they have to start selling stocks and real estate to finance retirements and cut back on expensive goods such as autos.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:19 AM

    Paul, not a subscriber…FWIW…this article matches what Armstrong has been warning about 2017 being the political year from hell.

    Why European Leaders Hate Trump by Karl Denninger

    It’s really quite simple.

    Trump has put on the table a promise to stop them from stealing from the United States.

    Yes, stealing.

    First, in national defense. Europe steals something around $100 billion in national defense spending that they ought to be spending every year, but we end up covering.

    http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=231196

      Mar 12, 2016 12:43 AM

      thanks for the post…..Markedtofuture……….

        Mar 12, 2016 12:53 AM

        Yes that was a good post , Markedtofuture…& the comments below are also worth reading.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:48 AM

    The other day Irish Tony you were asking Where’s Birdman, Jerry picked it up but his handle has changed it is now Farmer In Canada. DT

      Mar 12, 2016 12:57 AM

      DT…Thanks I did see that, but failed to pay attention to Jerry’s comment, sorry Jerry.
      So the farmer is a bird of many colours……Moo, Tweet, BAA.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:00 PM

        And there was silly me thinking he was a guy in Canada who owned, or worked on a farm………..

          Mar 12, 2016 12:04 PM

          Remember, his family was from Canada………..

            Mar 12, 2016 12:05 PM

            btw, I have no problems with TWEETY….. , as long as he plays fair……. 🙂

          Mar 12, 2016 12:14 PM

          Just a regular farm guy Tony. No GMO in my house. Bacon and eggs every day.

            Mar 12, 2016 12:34 PM

            Farmer , Bird , or whoever you are…nice to hear from you again. But chill & stop ruffling feathers………Good health to you.

            Mar 12, 2016 12:47 PM

            They have farmers in Canada? I thought yall only assembled cars and brewed beer?

            Mar 12, 2016 12:51 PM

            We got a few centimeters of good soil up where I live in the Northern Prairies. Its sitting on top of a gravel bed that stretches for hundreds of miles. But it grows good wheat if Mother Nature is smiling on us. When the Ground Squirrels get busy digging a den in spring we get little piles of rocks appearing outside their holes. Wish I could just sell sand and gravel for a living.

            Mar 12, 2016 12:17 PM

            What about ‘mutant dwarf wheat’? Any mutants running around your house Birdman?

            (I hadn’t twigged that you had changed your handle either – but now it all makes sense 🙂 )

            Mar 12, 2016 12:37 PM

            ” Tis but thy name that is my enemy;
            Thou art thyself, though not a Montague.
            What’s Montague? it is nor hand, nor foot,
            Nor arm, nor face, nor any other part
            Belonging to a man. O, be some other name!
            What’s in a name? That which we call a rose
            By any other name would smell as sweet”

            Shakespeare’s Romeo and Juliet

            What matters is what something is, not what it is called, Bob.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:02 PM

        :)…. Glad you guys picked it up also…………..

      Mar 12, 2016 12:09 PM
      Mar 12, 2016 12:11 PM

      Are you sure Dick?

    Mar 12, 2016 12:04 PM

    Segment 5 with Valentin Schmid of the Epoch times:

    Thanks for your thoughts Valentin. Those were very interesting comments. I still don’t think most people are aware just how close we are to going fully cashless though. So let me dig in and explain how close we really are for the benefit of those who are doubters.

    You mentioned for example that less than a trillion US dollars are physical printed notes. What was not noted was that most of those are believed to reside outside the US as private stores of wealth and bank holdings.

    Another substantial portion is unavailable at any given time due to illicit activities, the black market, smuggling, drug transactions and miscellaneous arms deals or other corrupt activities.

    What is actually available to banks in paper form on any given day is a minuscule fraction of all the daily financial and bank transactions that take place across the country. That available cash is wholly insufficient to meet the public needs and demands during an emergency that may arise. For example during a banking crisis or a noteworthy default in the sovereign or corporate sphere.

    And here is why that matters.

    I believe that it is already too late to stop us from going cashless. I think that it is an inevitability in fact and that we will lose the use of paper currency during the very next emergency. It could happen at any time in fact. It is almost a guarantee during a time of war.

    One single (major) bank failure that causes a bank-run on notes will be more than sufficient to force authorities (by edict) to declare a bank holiday during which time all paper money will be withdrawn across the nation. And that will be done to save our financial system as we know it.

    In one single weekend we should be cashless whether we like it or not.

    Not only that but the public will demand paper money be withdrawn once they realize a crisis has emerged due to a nationwide shortage of paper notes. Its all good and well when the system is functioning but the day your bank is forced to close due to a lack of common paper money they will want a solution.

    And they will want a solution fast.

    I would take this a step further. I also believe a bank run can be manufactured to bring about the desired result of an outright ban on the use of paper money. We are this close (Farmer holds up two fingers to the light and allows a small crack between them to allow a little sun to shine through)….we are THIS close to seeing a complete elimination of cash already.

    If you don’t have some the day the curtain comes down you might never see any again except in a museum.

    One single Credit Crisis is all it will take. One major bank run is all that stands in the way. There simply is not enough paper money to keep the system liquid anymore. Not if a million people demand their savings all at once. and that means that the Fed, the Treasury and the Government will nave no choice but to collectively draft an emergency law that will prevent a run on cash itself and to prevent the system from collapse.

    They are already drawing up plans for the inevitable. Those guys understand the risks. As much as people in the gold community think bankers are a bunch of idiots there is one thing they need to understand.

    A plan B is already in the works. And I think it could be enacted in the next few years if the financial system comes unglued as so many here predict. It could be enacted and passed into law within hours of an emergency. Just ask yourself this one easy question:

    Do you really believe that the nations banks will be allowed to fail because of a shortage of physical paper currency? You see, the public does not really care one way or another. They are already almost fully electronic and using bits and bites with debit, credit, mobile payments and other assorted settlement methods.

    So they don’t really give a damn. All they care about is they can still go shopping and collect their monthly pay.

    All that will matter the day the next bank run comes is that the system gets up and functioning again. And all the wailing and gnashing of teeth from those who hold paper money dear will be washed away by a chorus of millions demanding something be done about the problem quick.

    This is already a done deal. We are going cashless whether we like it or not.

    The business cycle itself will be the determining factor. Eventually….a big bank WILL fail. And that will be the end of this debate about the merits of a cashless system because after that it will be our day to day reality.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:13 PM

    Update

    At this point only a fool would buy into the miners if your in for the short term. Even if we get a little more upside a big correction is due and will correct into may/June..

    In going on record here and saying oil bottom in not in and oil companies need to head south.

    With the above being said I would appreciate if shad/ Matt or anyone else like Brian or doc can give some names of small cap oil producers or exploration oil producers. I’m talking about the cream of the crop like Claude/impact of the mining sector.

    Would greatly appreciate this.. I know for some of you it’s hard to share portfolio but share what you wish. Thx

    Shad

    Had a talk with Matt earlier regarding jaguar and Aurcana three weeks ago when i spotted a nice entry point, Matt can confirm. These two companies out of the bunch including golden star resources are a gamble but I bet the farm 2 out of the three will be 10-15 plus baggers. Now Matt knows I don’t like Africa but some change in some of these might be rewarding for speculation.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:01 PM

      Glen, I hope you were able to pick up that gold junior that I mentioned. It more than doubled for me and probably would’ve been around a double for you.

      Sorry, I do not have any good ideas when it comes to oil.

      Btw, when IPT was .215 on February 8, I said the following:

      “IPT jumped 103% today and is up 48% right now. This type of action causes most people to sell way too much because they don’t grasp how rational the move really is at this time. In the context of the new bull market, it remains dirt cheap. The initial impressive markup simply reflects its “bankruptcy pricing” was stupid and had to go away.”
      ————end————-

      Here we are just one month later and, as of yesterday, it has added another 58.27% and when it got there I had 97.44% of my original pre melt-up position. I did take profits earlier and moved those profits into a few other miners that did very well while IPT consolidated its gains and then I sold a good portion of those and bought back most of my IPT shares on weakness.

      I STILL believe that IPT is dirt cheap but it could fall substantially if silver disappoints in the short term.

        Mar 14, 2016 14:23 PM

        HI matt

        sorry for late response. Your points are well taken. I did not make a move but I plan to eventually.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:49 PM

      I will take my NUGT scalps then jump in to DUST. Got 1 NUGT position and 3 DUST positions. Will add to either on a move.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:10 PM

      Glen
      I am not invested in oil companies
      Brian

      Mar 12, 2016 12:47 PM

      Hi Glenfidish. Hope all is grand.

      Yes, I believe a pullback in gold and related miners will hit later in the Spring/Summer, but there may be a little upside left in these stocks, and I’m very curious to see if Gold will make a run for $1308 or $1321 before topping out. If so, Silver will likely finally kick it in gear and play a little surprise catch up.

      As for Jaguar and Aurcana, I own shares of both at at attractive levels, and have been nibbling at both for the last few months. I agree they are much more high risk, but also could be 10-15 baggers, hence the reason I took the risk 🙂

      I remember them both from much higher levels, and while Aurcana only has the TX Shafter Mine now, I think they have turned the corner on their stupid management calls, have cleared house in their management team, and assembled a better direction, and lastly they’ve restructured already so most of the downside is factored in, but the upside is going to be worth the candle. As for Jaguar, a very similar story. They have 2 mines with exploration upside, they just expanded mine-life by over 300% and I remember when they were a $6 stock. When they came out of restructuring, I started following them again. I find that when stocks actually arise from restructuring with real assets and a real plan that they can blow the doors off most stocks. This is the exact same reason why I have such high hopes for Nicola Mining (formerly Huldra Silver). This is also why I am starting to invest in the Uranium company Paladin again, who also just restructured and has real assets and mines.

      All 4 companies: Aurcana, Jaguar, Nicola Mining, and Paladin have very good odds of being fantastic turn around stories and possibly take out targets down the road now that they’ve sorted out their dirty laundry. I am up for a little risk and am hanging on to those waiting for the upside surprise (but still cognizant that there could still be a downside fail).

      Lastly, as for individual Oil companies, I am still pruning down this list, but it ranges from Oil to Nat Gas to Oil services, and some of them will need a recovery in Oil prices to work. I’m still going through about another 100 names and may find better companies, but these are the ones I have targeted to buy on the next big leg down:

      Raging River Exploration
      Whitecap Resources
      Prairiesky Royalty
      Blackbird Energy
      Concho Resources
      Canadian Natural Resources
      Imperial Oil
      Advantage Oil & Gas
      Bonterra Energy Corp
      Enbridge
      Encana corp
      Cenovus
      Boulder Energy Corp
      Cequence Energy
      Energy Transfer Partners
      Freehold Royalties
      Gibson Energy
      HollyFrontier Corp
      Marquee Energy
      Noble Energy
      Oasis Petroleum
      Pan Orient Energy Corp
      Peyto Exploration
      Range Resources
      Sanchez Energy Corp
      Southwestern Energy Corp
      Spartan Energy Corp
      Spectra Energy Corp
      Stone Energy Corp
      Torc Oil & Gas
      Trillogy Energ
      Tullow Oil

      Please let me know if there are any other individual Oil/Gas/Oil Services companies you or anyone else is following, AND, if any of these float your boat.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:52 PM

        I forgot one of the best Oil companies on that list…… Crescent Point Energy.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:22 PM

        I am kicking myself for hesitating on Tullow on the day it bottomed. If oil goes back to 30 bucks, or lower, I will be buying.

          Mar 13, 2016 13:08 AM

          Bob UK – I just read and interesting article about BP & Tullow investing in exploration in Uruguay, and thought it may of interest to you.

          Is This The Next Offshore Sweet Spot For Big Oil?
          March 10, 2016 12:45 PM – Oilprice.com By Charles Kennedy

          https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-offshore-sweet-spot-big-174522674.html

            Mar 13, 2016 13:14 AM

            I believe Tullow has done a good job of consolidating a number of assets in Ghana, Uganda, Kenya, Norway and French Guiana, and they have focused in some jurisdictions that are non-traditional compared to many of the US and Canadian companies. When I have about a dozen Oil companies, I’ll want them in the mix just to spread around the geographic jurisdictions.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:51 PM

            Thanks Excelsior. I am not sure we will see Tullow back down at its 2016 lows again to be perfectly honest – unless we see a major drop in the oil price.

        Mar 13, 2016 13:57 PM

        I like SU, XOM, DVN, APA, CVX, RDS, and own them all.

          Mar 14, 2016 14:30 AM

          Thanks Bonzo. Those are all very stable larger name Oil stocks. Glenfidish had asked for the smaller cap Oil & Gas producers and explorers, so my list above are a little more speculative.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:10 PM

      Glenfidish, I forgot about your last sentence about Africa.

      I have a few recommendations in Africa to check into:

      True Gold just got Acquired by Endeavour Mining. That combined company looks pretty solid, and Burkina Faso has been hot to trot lately.

      I hold a small & profitable position in Perseus Mining, who is in the process of acquiring Amara Mining (another company I’ve been watching), so I’m excited about that combined company.

      Two other companies that are on my list that I am highly interested in as near-term producers and potential takeout targets are Roxgold and Avnel Gold. I may throw a little funny money their way soon.

      Asanko Gold new mine is officially the newest producing gold mine in Ghana. They just did their first gold pour in late January. They’ll be one to watch as they get re-rated.

      B2Gold has some interesting African assets in Nambia, Mali, and Burkina Faso.

      Platinum Group Metals is one of my favorite PGM plays in S. Africa, but it has gotten a bit frothy here and I took a lot of profits on it this last week. Longer term I really like their assets, business plan on both of their assets, huge upside in exploration available, plan to dig multiple shallow pits and utilize robotic mining at their 2nd asset to avoid expensive employees and union BS, and the improving PGM marketplace.

      Cheers!

        Mar 12, 2016 12:40 PM

        Check out this chart for Platinum Group Metals (PLG). It has really been one of my best performing stocks lately and this move kinda blew my mind….

        http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PLG&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p32421946948

        Mar 13, 2016 13:05 PM

        I should add to the African list Centamin PLC (CELTF) (CEE.TO)

        Centamin completed its recommended all-share takeover offer for ASX-listed Ampella Mining Ltd on 24 February 2014, thus gaining control of an extensive licence holding over a highly prospective and underexplored +100km trend of gold mineralization in Burkina Faso, as well as further exploration properties in Côte d’Ivoire. Additional permits in Côte d’Ivoire are under application.

          Mar 14, 2016 14:43 AM

          Don’t forget about Randgold Resources either…..mostly Africa.

    bb
    Mar 12, 2016 12:23 PM

    Well Farmer
    Was it Sweeden? Switzerland? Plans to be cashless in 5 years.
    Your right, its further along than most see.
    You mighta mentioned or you already know Euroland talks of eliminating large notes and the Americans talk of getting rid of the $100 bill.

    You still think there is much point in that shoe box full of bills?

      Mar 12, 2016 12:31 PM

      Yes bb. A shoe box full of cash is a good idea. Any emergency law would not be to suspend the currency itself but rather to block large cash withdrawals. That means that banks would have no obligation to honour requests for physical notes and could instead fulfill customer demands electronically.

      And that will be the end of a bank-run risk.

      Meanwhile, existing paper money will be gradually withdrawn over time. It may initially fetch a premium over other payment methods as people rush to hoard what remains.

      Junk gold and silver coins will soar in value overnight.

      And you will never be able to acquire precious metals undetected again.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:36 PM

        Blocking cash withdrawals will not be the end of a bank-run risk. A bank run occurs when a large number of bank customers withdraw their deposits in a very short time period.

        http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bankrun.asp

        It does not matter how people withdrawal their deposits or by what method of payment they receive. People can still close their bank accounts and receive a cashier’s check which is usually what happens today when you close your account or people can remove almost every penny from their account by simply writing a check or by electronic transfer. So actual physical cash does not have to be involved for there to be a bank run. Back in 2008 there was a run on the money market funds in which investors fled out of them and into safer Treasury money market funds. Investors did not get actual physical cash when they sold their money market funds and then put it in Treasury money market funds. It was done electronically. Even in a cashless society the same kind of run can happen with a bank. All depositors have to do is close their account and receive a cashier’s check or transfer their money electronically to another financial institution.

          CFS
          Mar 12, 2016 12:59 PM

          The point of going cashless is:
          1. Control
          2. Eliminate possibility of Bank Runs.

            Mar 12, 2016 12:34 PM

            Wrong again CFS.

            To stop bank runs there needs to be capital controls which prevents people from closing their accounts and also severely limiting the amount one can withdraw, whether it is by writing checks, using an ATM, making electronic transfers etc… Simply by going cashless will not do that.

            Did you read my reply to you about negative yields from the John Rubino interview?

          Mar 12, 2016 12:55 PM

          The only reason a bank would be forced to close its doors during a run is because it is unable to meet the redemption requests of its depositors. Said depositors are not coming to get cheques from the stressed bank, JMiller!

          Keep in mind the whole point of a run is that customers doubt the integrity of the institution and thus demand their savings be returned due to a lack of confidence in the company. It is the shortage that subsequently develops that causes the closure.

          We are talking about a shortage of physical paper notes here, not the banks ability to cut rubber cheques that will never clear anyway. Take away that problem and any run can be satisfied via short term Central Bank liquidity interventions without anyone even knowing a problem might have existed.

          So yes, it matters that customers cannot get at their savings in the format they demand. Why do you think banks in Cyprus and Greece had daily ATM limits for example? Why was there long lineups each day at the branches? Because those banks could not meet requests for cash is why.

          Put this another way. If you had a slip of paper in a Medieval European bank that was a claim to 50 ounces of gold would you accept another slip of paper the day people realized the vault was empty or would you want your gold back?

          See, that’s the problem with paper cash. People think it is money!

            Mar 12, 2016 12:04 PM

            Farmer in Canada,

            Did I say anything about why a bank would be forced to close it’s doors?

            I am talking about what a bank run is and how being in a cashless society will not prevent a bank run. That is all. If all or many bank customers withdraw their deposits in a short period of time because they have concerns about the bank, it a bank run by definition. Period. Now will simply being in a cashless society prevent customers of a bank from withdrawing their deposits by closing their accounts or from withdrawing large amounts of money in a short period of time? The answer is no. There would still be several methods to accomplish this in a cashless society. One method however would not be available and that is getting it in physical cash. And that is all that I am saying contraire to what many in the ALT media are saying.

            You said, “Keep in mind the whole point of a run is that customers doubt the integrity of the institution and thus demand their savings be returned due to a lack of confidence in the company”.

            That is true. So do you believe that simply being in a cashless society, that depositors can’t have concerns about their bank’s solvency and they can’t rush to try get their deposits out by closing their accounts or by using electronic transfers?

            Mar 13, 2016 13:31 AM

            So you would have no problem with settlement of part of your savings account in the form a cashiers cheque or electronic transfer to the institution of your choice during a bank failure?

            Good to know. That would qualify you as an early adopter. Not everyone feels that way obviously or we would not be regaled by long lines outside banks as savers attempted to withdraw actual cash.

            The whole point here in any case is to break the link between what you own and how it is represented in three dimensional form. Obviously it is easier for authorities to provide essential liquidity via electronic means rather than to muster the forces needed to meet demands for actual paper currency.

            In either case it does not assure you will get back a 100% of your deposits or savings. That is another subject altogether.

            On the point of what is a bank run, I hope you appreciate that what creates the panic in the first place is the belief that a genuine shortage of capital is available to be dispensed to the public.

            Liquidity interventions electronically assures there can be no shortages over the short term. Even if there is a shortage the aspect of settlement via electronic means assures that everyone will be treated equally. Instead we will get a bank holiday and read the rules of engagement in the local paper (internet version of course).

            Thus there is not a need to line up and be “first” and therefore no panic in the classic sense can ensue. As I pointed out before, you cannot explain away the photos of Greek pensioners desperately trying to get Euros out of ATM’s that are empty.

            That is the point. Bank runs still exist even if you don’t believe they are real anymore.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:40 AM

            Farmer in Canada,

            You seem like you do not want to come right out and admit that I am right about it being possible to still have bank runs even in a cashless society. It is really capital controls that can prevent bank runs, not going to a cashless society. You did not answer my question that I asked in my last post. Instead you keep bring up things that I am not even talking about. Some of which I do agree with.

            You asked, “So you would have no problem with settlement of part of your savings account in the form a cashiers cheque or electronic transfer to the institution of your choice during a bank failure?”

            Well if the bank has already failed you really do not have a choice. In the U.S. the FDIC would have been appointed receiver of the failed bank and your deposits would be transfer to the acquiring bank. In the rare event that there is no acquiring bank then the FDIC mails you a check in the amount of your insured deposit. And no the check is not going to bounce.

            Now may be you meant to ask, would I have a problem with receiving a cashier’s check, instead of cash, if I closed out my bank account or electronically transfer my savings to another financial institution because I was concerned that my bank might soon become insolvent. The answer would be no. I would have no problem. I sure would not expect them to give me $50,000 in cash. Of course part of the reason why I would not have a problem is because I check my bank’s financial reports each month and I have a good amount of knowledge about certain areas of the financial services industry unlike most people. But I sure can see how people who are not knowledgeable would be in fear and run to their bank if they thought that it might be in financial trouble especially if they have uninsured deposits. Even in a cashless society.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:48 AM

            Correct JMiller, I don’t agree with you. Bank runs are improbable under a cashless system. So its not possible for me to agree that you are right that they would still take place. Maybe we need to define the term “bank run” first before we can discuss this further. As you know I am referring to legions of people lining up for hours or even days to get access to what they believe is a limited resource. It is a shortage that propels the crowd in such a case. Nullify that and there is no run. The public would instead just sit in their living rooms and await word on what percentage of total surviving assets might be available for distribution. You may be better equipped with information on banking than most however the typical person has little knowledge or understanding that cash itself is actually a fairly rare commodity. There is never going to be enough to satisfy all the demands that might arise in an emergency. Those who do get the cash first will most likely hoard it and in the process put tremendous pressure on all other banks that are not facing trouble. The solution is to simply change the model. No cash is what everyone gets if a bank fails. And if that;s the case then why not go that one last step. Cash itself is perhaps no longer necessary or needed.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:12 AM

            Definition of a bank run: A bank run is a situation that occurs when a large number of bank customers withdraw their deposits in a short period of time due to concerns about the bank’s solvency.

            Question: Can a large number of people who are concerned about their bank, withdrawal their deposits and move them from one bank to another within a short period of time in a cashless society. The answer is yes. Then you could still have bank runs. And even you agree FIC that it is possible since you said that it is improbable. Now if you want to believe that a bank run in a cashless society is very unlikely, for the reasons you gave, I have no problem with accepting your opinion. But it sure is not impossible. Personally I think it the odds of a bank run is about the same whether your in a cashless society or not because I do not think people would just sit at home and do nothing if they can still withdrawal their deposits while the bank has assets. They do not have to have it in physical cash to do that. This is why I think capital controls would still be needed. But that is just my opinion.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:48 AM

            Interesting discussion on bank runs and the potential of a cashless society. Good thoughts.

            bb
            Mar 13, 2016 13:52 PM

            Ya, good discussion.

            Real “food for thought” from both.

            Mar 14, 2016 14:51 AM

            Keep stacking bb! And make it silver, not gold.

      CFS
      Mar 12, 2016 12:57 PM

      Sweden will attempt to go cashless in 5 years.
      There will be a referendum in Switzerland later this year about it.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:21 PM

        We will all be cashless before that CFS. Actually we are already pretty much there. We just have not acknowledged it formally. But when your aggregate paper cash transactions amount to no more than a few percent of all financial activity its time to just call it what it is.

        So there is nothing to fear really since this is not unfamiliar territory. There is nothing to fear if you are law abiding. The only parts of the economy that will really suffer are the underground and black markets.

        Prostitution for example. Drug dealing. Organized crime activities. Illicit alcohol, arms and tobacco sales and poaching are other examples. All of these can only thrive where cash is readily available as a payment method.

        Personally, I have no problems whatsoever with putting a little pressure on that segment of society that earns its living through theft, pawn shop recycling and yard sales of stolen equipment.

        And I have no problem with closing the noose on graft and corruption either. Or cutting into the incomes on those trading in contraband medications from overseas, from those dealing in body parts and fetus’s or from those selling species of animals on extinction lists.

        Lets face it, nobody will arrange a contract killing in the future with a payment on their smart phone or by cheque. It is time to clean up some of the worst social parasites and offenders whether they be terrorists, mobsters, government clerks corrupted on bid processing or gun smugglers.

        The worst rackets in society are invisible because they are all cash-based.

        So kill cash. Lets just get it done.

          GH
          Mar 13, 2016 13:17 PM

          “There is nothing to fear if you are law abiding.”

          Well, one might fear a parasitic gov’t that, knowing its citizens are trapped and 100% controllable, slowly but surely turns up the heat in the form of greater and greater taxes. All for the greater good, always, of course.

          But hey, let’s all just give up both personal and financial privacy without any more fuss. After all, it’s unthinkable that there might be some elite handful of people who are a ‘little bit more equal’ than the rest of us. Harrumph.

            Mar 14, 2016 14:46 AM

            We are marching headlong into a cashless society GH so your objections amount to trying to close the barn door after the horse has already fled. It is not as though what I am discussing is hypothetical or some wild eyed theorizing.

            We are there now. It is a virtual fact in most Western developed nations already.

            Cash transactions continue to decline with each passing year. Even cheque use is falling in the wake of so many other convenient payment methods. So we will inexorably evolve our entire financial system away from the use of cash unless steps are deliberately taken now to preserve its use.

            But I doubt that will happen. The reason is that each of us have collectively made our choice and the facts say that we have chosen to embrace new payment technologies over physical paper money. Those newer methods now account for trillions of dollars annually of financial activity.

            So whats the big deal in taking that last step into a paper-free system?

            All that really remains is the discussion about what ramifications a cashless society holds for the future. And so I have commented more generally on how going entirely cashless will put a noose around organized crime and the parasitic criminal class that creates mayhem across the country.

            Let me give you one good example of what I am talking about. Over in England there was a recent case of immigrant women being held captive and exploited as sex slaves by a group of Nigerian men (might have been in the US actually. Sorry if I am a little vague on the details).

            Anyway part of proving the crime involves a paper trail and evidence that money was exchanged in the process of this heinous activity. So here is a case where these guys could not have easily profited or been in this kind of hidden business if physical cash did not exist.

            This is just one example of an activity that none of us should accept or tolerate. It is a disgusting crime and one that merits the stiffest of penalties in my opinion. It is also one that can be investigated easily if the transactions are done electronically instead of with wads of dirty paper.

            Others have already written volumes on the topic of a potential loss of freedom from invasive agencies and government who may take advantage of our transaction histories and thus abuse power. And that is a valid concern that needs more discussion.

            But I want to point out that there are clear benefits from a law and order perspective and in my opinion a cashless world holds out the possibility that the most egregious disgusting crimes like that noted above can be stamped out and the criminal activities they engage in are crippled. Being cashless means we will have the tools to collect the evidence to lock these creeps up for good.

            The argument in favour of going cashless to close the noose on organized criminals is compelling enough that I think it also deserves a serious discussion. What is really interesting is that just a tiny fraction of all people are responsible for the vast majority of crimes. Depriving that minority group of the means to earn a living by using untrackable cash would be a huge step along the road to cleaning up the worst offenders in society.

            And what is wrong with that?

            Let me add a few other examples to make my case.

            1) How might ransoms be paid following a kidnapping if there was not cash?
            2) How would those who extort for a living gain a benefit without cash?
            3) What would the mob rackets operating in most big cities do to earn a buck?
            4) Can corrupt officials skim without getting caught red handed?
            5) How about money laundering? That will end in a heartbeat.
            6) Bank robberies would become a thing of the past.
            7) Armed robberies of business would also come to a screeching halt.
            8) The illicit trade in guns and drugs would instantly be exposed
            9) Paid contract killings would become a thing of the past.
            10) The trade in ivory, endangered species and poaching would be seriously curtailed.

            The list goes on and on. So my question to you is this;

            Would you not agree that an end to cash is actually extremely beneficial for all of us where crime is concerned and could you not support an end to physical cash based on the merits of the argument I am putting forward?

            Mar 14, 2016 14:52 AM

            +1 GH

            Mar 14, 2016 14:13 AM

            Minus 10 Matthew.

            Mar 14, 2016 14:28 AM

            Come on Farmer, be a big boy now.

            GH
            Mar 14, 2016 14:09 AM

            No Bird Farmer, I absolutely would not agree.

            The worst criminals amongst us are above the law. Take country-destroying Hillary, or Dickhead Cheney as two examples. And those who are and will continue to be above the law will become worse criminals as their power approaches the absolute.

            There have been many examples of societies with exceedingly low crime that did not have to surrender all privacy and individual power to achieve it.

            You’re preaching a Brave New World. Good for you if you’re well-adjusted to what, as I think you rightly point out, may be inevitable.

            But as for me, I say Bollocks.

            GH
            Mar 14, 2016 14:31 AM

            You’re a smart guy, so you probably understand this, but the kind of crime you are talking about it peanuts, and the control imposed by removing cash is easily circumvented.

            For instance, while it may be the case that briefcases of cash still change hands in DC (I have talked to someone who witnessed this, but 40 years ago), probably a much larger portion of bribery is less direct and perfectly legal. I.e. the revolving door between gov’t and corporate America, speaking fees for the likes of the Clintons, etc.

            That you think removing cash will eliminate criminality from the human experience is, to me, laughable.

            And what kinds of crimes are not peanuts? For Americans, perhaps the worst is the ‘medical industrial complex’ which has cut tens of millions of lives short for profit over the past several decades. E.g. the huge fraud of discouraging saturated fat and pushing hydrogenated industrially produced oil in it’s place; statins and antidepressants for a significant portion of the populace; other psychoactive drugs for a substantial portion of children; absolute mis-treatment of diseases like osteoporosis, arthritis, and thyroid conditions; willful ignorance on the part of the medical industry about nutrition; suppression of superior cancer treatments; etc.

            Your cashless society will do nothing for that. Rather, it will entrench it all the further, as it meshes with obligatory participation in BS ‘health’ systems, ‘education’ systems, etc.

            Mar 14, 2016 14:31 AM

            I hear you GH. I also understand your points. We are talking about different things though I suspect. Maybe its what we define as criminal where there is going to be disagreement. Where people in power are concerned this is usually a very subjective and personal point of view so I can’t engage with those comments of yours.

            Obviously my reference is about those people we can all agree are involved in the most serious and overt criminal behavior. Anyway all I am doing is a having a thought experiment in what a cashless society might look like and what parts of the economy would be impacted most. The black market and money laundering look to top the list. None of that is peanuts.

            I am not preaching incidentally. I am an observer just like you and both of us can surely see that the economy based around cash is rapidly disappearing. The last of it seems to be what primarily supports organized crime, drugs and a wide range of serious offenses. Without access to fiat these would all see a decline in the number of incidents.

            Have you noticed though that there is hardly any discussion on this subject other than the regular fear-based commentary produced by the usual newsletter writers. The public is not engaged at all. There are virtually no advocates at all for retaining paper money. Even on this site hardly a word of objection has been written other than your posts.

            What does that tell us except nobody really cares or they just don’t believe it likely.

            But a cashless world is coming whether we like it or not. We are past the tipping point and cannot go back to where we were anymore. I suspect what would take the place of transactions done in fiat paper would be a barter system. Human ingenuity knows no bounds and I would agree criminals will probably find creative ways to skirt the advent of a fully electronic system.

            Precious metals will surely play a role. This in itself will provide more propellant than almost any other factor in the steep rise in the price of gold that I believe must come as paper currency is finally phased out.

            But a barter economy would be expected to include much more than just metals. Other foreign currencies would come into use as well. For example, if the US went cashless the drug trade would probably start using Canadian dollars as the next best option. Even Yen, Yuan and Mexican Pesos might circulate freely.

            This obviously adds an element of complication for criminals though. They would still need a means to convert to local money and I suspect it would not be so easy. At some point they will have to move their illegal gains into the normal economy and it is then they will be tripped up.

            So the lack of cash creates a restraint or a brake on certain underground activities. I don’t see that as a bad thing at all. And that’s why I am addressing the idea. I have not seen this aspect of a cashless economy discussed anywhere else except in the most vague way.

    bb
    Mar 12, 2016 12:55 PM

    You forgot the old fashion way Farmer.
    Pan it one self.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:07 PM

      Guess you are right. If you have rights to a gold lease and your health is ok. Other than that you would just have to buy it the old fashioned way. With a credit card. Just don’t think it will be an anonymous purchase anymore as has been so common until now.

      I don’t think people need to fear an actual cash confiscation though. What they need to be worried about are laws that make hoarding of cash illegal. That could easily be applied to any form of hard currency as well during a crisis. So gold and silver would be included in a draft proposal without a doubt.

      Meanwhile the object of cancelling the 100 dollar bill would be to suck as much physical paper currency back into the US market as possible. There would be no time to print up the real needs. That could take years just to supply a modest percentage of real demand.

      There is pretty much nothing that can be done to stop all this happening by the way. Our financial system has evolved in such a way that this coming shortage is one that developed organically.

      And don’t blame the government. Even if they wished otherwise they are not in a position to stop the inevitable anymore. A slim couple percent of all money is printed these days. It means a crisis cannot be avoided at some time in the future.

      It is just a matter of when that day comes.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:10 PM

    Trump as president. America is going down the toilet. This election is becoming a complete farce. Sadly there’s enough dumb Americans to vote him in.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:56 PM

      Kind of funny Ronny. Right now its the insiders and political elite in the form of convention delegates who are propelling him along. In other words, the so-called smart people are behind this move.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:56 PM

      The elections have been a farce for a long time…………BUSH….CLINTON…..CARTER…..NIXON…..JOHNSON……FORD…..

        Mar 12, 2016 12:58 PM

        OH,,,,,,,and the WORST OF ALL…………..OBAMA

        Mar 12, 2016 12:31 PM

        Exactly Jerry. Comments like Ronny’s are ridiculous. America is already down the toilet; elections have long been a farce; and there’s always been enough dumb Americans to vote in Obama, Bush, Clinton, etc.

        I am no fan of Trump but only a fool would think that he is any worse than the rest – or any better.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:45 PM

      Like any of the blanktard national socialist republikans or communist demokrats have done a darn thing positive for amerika in the past 40 years. You are an establishment Kool-aid drinker.

        Mar 12, 2016 12:32 PM

        +1

          Mar 12, 2016 12:57 PM

          He was talking to you Matthew. I am a Canadian.

          So plus one back at you, man.

            Mar 12, 2016 12:39 PM

            No, he was talking to Ronny, Birdman. Notice that his comment was posted five hours before mine? In addition, I, not you, decide what I agree with (duh). So +1 back at Jason.

            Mar 13, 2016 13:35 AM

            Five hours eh? How prophetic!

            By the way I got a great laugh when you wrote “DUH”

            I can picture you so perfectly as a toothless Hill-billy. 🙂

            Are you still an Anarchist btw?

            Mar 13, 2016 13:17 AM

            I have a brain, so of course I’m an anarchist. The most primitive views are those of the collectivists whether D or R.
            Ignorance and the belief in the goodness of the state are extremely highly correlated.

          Mar 13, 2016 13:08 PM

          Thankfully that kool-aid isnt for me. Proud Canadian here. Donald is a reality tv star and he is bringing his best entertainment to american politics now. Americas general population is eating up. Thinking he is their savior. Lol

            Mar 13, 2016 13:14 PM

            That’s true but those who think Obama or Trudeau are any better need to learn economics as well as right from wrong.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:13 PM

      Ronny, you’ve been circling the bowl for years ( un-binonced to you )

        Mar 12, 2016 12:28 PM

        Trump will either completely heal things, or we will have status quo. I’m thinking he will make changes for the better. In fact, he already has, America has awakened like a sleeping bear…! ( stating the obvious, I know )

          GH
          Mar 13, 2016 13:39 PM

          LLLLOOOOLLLLLL

          I wish it were true, but picking this bear’s bottom will make catching the bottom of the gold bear look easy.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:42 PM

    I am going bear on gold going in to the FOMC. Then long after the meeting.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:02 PM

      That’s the pattern that has been playing out the last few Fed meetings. If history rhymes you may do quite well.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:16 PM

    Topic: COT

    I cannot find this information, but maybe someone else has it at their fingertips:

    What was the paatern of COT for gold during the 2009-2011 timeframe?

    I have read somewhere that the current levels could go up even 50% more befire it reaches the heights of the bull market.

    Also, it seems like the FIB-32% was a pretty good rule-of-thumb during the 2001-2011 timeframe (minus the 2008 drop, of course)

    Mar 12, 2016 12:56 PM

    Valentin Schmid is wrong when he said if you live in a cashless society then there would be no bank runs. A bank run occurs when a large number of bank customers withdraw their deposits in a very short time period.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bankrun.asp

    It does not matter how people withdrawal their deposits or by what method of payment they receive. People can still close their bank accounts and receive a cashier’s check which is usually what happens today when you close your account or people can remove almost every penny from their account by simply writing a check or by electronic transfer. So actual physical cash does not have to be involved for there to be a bank run. Back in 2008 there was a run on the money market funds in which investors fled out of them and into safer Treasury money market funds. Investors did not get actual physical cash when they sold their money market funds and then put it in Treasury money market funds. It was done electronically. In a cashless society the same kind of run can happen with a bank. All depositors have to do in a cashless society is close their account and receive a cashier’s check or transfer their money electronically to another financial institution.

    To stop bank runs there needs to be capital controls which prevents people from closing their accounts and also severely limiting the amount one can withdraw, whether it is by writing checks or making electronic transfers. But not by going cashless.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:14 PM

    Bird’s wife must be away on holidays she doesn’t like it when he spends too much time with his girlfriend, the computer. She knows what he’s like. DT

      Mar 12, 2016 12:39 PM

      I thought you were my girlfriend.

        bb
        Mar 13, 2016 13:13 AM

        Thats was a good giggle.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:17 PM

    The advance decline line is back to making higher highs.

    http://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/2016/03/chart-of-the-day-240.html

      Mar 13, 2016 13:20 AM

      That is an interesting development that the advance decline line broke back to the upside.

    CFS
    Mar 12, 2016 12:18 PM

    Gary,
    I believe the general stock market will be going up in the very short term.
    It should top out around S&P 2020-5 (It might try to penetrate the 200 day moving Average at about that level, but will probably not succeed.)
    At that time the credit bubble should burst, causing a dramatic drop in the general stock market and safe-haven movement into precious metals.

    The only thing that would prevent a total credit market collapse is massive central bank intervention.
    That is why it is dangerous to short the market.
    There is collusion between the central banks, which I think have run out of effective options.
    Helicopter money will probably be tried but that just digs the debt hole deeper.

    CFS
    Mar 12, 2016 12:24 PM

    For those interested in the oil market, I might mention two ETFs which have not been mentioned in this forum: CRAK and FRAK.
    They are pretty much what you might guess:
    CRAK is a refiner ETF,
    FRAK is an ETF that contains frackers.

      GH
      Mar 13, 2016 13:42 PM

      And then there’s GUSH and DRIP. Fun names 🙂

        Mar 13, 2016 13:08 PM

        I track GUSH and DRIP, but missed CRAK and FRAK. Thanks!

    Mar 12, 2016 12:35 PM

    Ben Sasse is just another sassie DC criminal clown. Why do you think they call it the District of Criminals?

    And financial repression is just another form of government theft. And a cashless society is a tyrant’s wet dream.

    In this country there is just one party

    I’m sure everyone here realizes this including Mr. Big Al Korelin.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:37 PM

    In this country there is just one party.

    And that party is the Boot on Your Neck Party.

    And I’m sure everyone here realizes that including Mr. Big Al Korelin.

    CFS
    Mar 12, 2016 12:47 PM

    For those of you interested in politics, mat I suggest you read:
    http://thefederalist.com/2016/03/09/heres-the-math-on-why-obsessing-over-florida-makes-no-sense/

    It seems to me Rubio should drop out of the race, since he is a spoiler who cannot win.
    Marco Rubio is, of course, a real insider. He never stood against Obamacare. Cruz was the only Senator to try to filibuster against Obamacare and that is why he is hated by the establishment and why Cruz is not an insider.

      Mar 12, 2016 12:25 PM

      Cruz appeals to a small voter base, his religious leanings don’t have a broad base of support. Cruz is a smart guy no doubt but he can’t win because he is part of the Republican party’s old guard. You cannot teach an old guard new tricks. He sticks to their textbook dogma. DT

        CFS
        Mar 12, 2016 12:30 PM

        DT, He is NOT part of the old guard.
        You need to study more.

          Mar 13, 2016 13:37 AM

          Bingo!

          Don’t hold your breathe though. He is from Toronto after all. Armpit of the nation.

      Mar 13, 2016 13:44 AM

      RUBIO , just got indorsed by WASHINGTON DC , he is for sure the INSIDER, and for sure things will not change with that idiot.

    CFS
    Mar 12, 2016 12:28 PM

    Why M&A makes sense even at 50% premiums.

    Many mining stocks are down 80=90%, without regard often to their resources.
    They are often unable to progress their projects further because of little ability to raise capital.
    Assume a stock with good resources has dropped 80%.
    Then even if it is bought at a 50% premium, it would be bought at a 70% discount from its peak.
    This is a time when companies with money should be buying other companies with resources….and not penny-pinch unnecessarily on premiums. They are still getting a steal.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:17 PM
      Mar 12, 2016 12:25 PM

      That was a pretty good article from Warren Bevan.

        Mar 13, 2016 13:40 PM

        THANKS Bobby…………How long have you been following Bevan……..thank Jerry

    Mar 12, 2016 12:18 PM

    The gold miners couldn’t look better on the monthly chart.

    http://schrts.co/agU3I6

    Mar 12, 2016 12:19 PM

    Rick Rule said it’s important to avoid the story stocks if you want ten baggers and he is right.

    http://kingworldnews.com/rick-rule-3-6-16/

    Mar 12, 2016 12:13 PM

    Larry Edelson says: “Everyone and their brother now thinks that gold and silver are headed to the moon.”

    I disagree with Larry. It’s obvious that “everyone and their brother” has missed most of the move so far and is praying for a pullback.

    Adding to his straw man argument that “everyone” is saying “to the moon,” he continues with the following:

    “I am panning all the pundits and investors out there who now say gold and silver are headed straight up to new record highs … and that if you don’t buy now, you’ve missed the train.”

    That is BS all the way. I don’t know anyone who thinks gold and silver are heading straight to new highs.

    Yes, a pullback would make sense after such gains but THAT has been the obvious and NOT very contrarian view so far. Clive Maund and many other names have joined the herd of sheep in recent weeks without realizing it.

    Gary Savage recently highlighted the BPGDM’s 72 reading as a big cause for concern but there is no reason why it can’t go into the 80s or 90s before we see a top. That would be typical of a bull market rally.

    These guys will eventually be right, and gold will drop hard, but from what level? When there finally is a big plunge, it might start from such a level that it does not go back to the levels at which so many tried to call the top.

    It’s nice to see that Bill Fleckenstein gets it:

    Question: Hey Fleck – Sold large chuck of my miners this morning for tidy gains but now I’m feeling v naked and exposed! Need to get my clothes back.. =) Thanks for all you for us commoner traders!

    Answer from Fleck: “Doing what you just did is very popular. Lots of people will get left behind. Try not to fight the last war.”

    http://kingworldnews.com/bill-fleckenstein-addresses-the-fact-that-most-gold-bulls-are-looking-for-a-pullback/

      Mar 12, 2016 12:21 PM

      Good food for thought. Thanks Matthew.

      Mar 13, 2016 13:25 AM

      Actually I’ve been expecting the BPGDM to reach maybe 80% before the intermediate cycle tops. I’ve also been on record saying that I think gold will likely test or marginally break 1308 before topping.

      But after an 85% rally in miners one has to start scaling out and taking some profits even though I think there is a reasonable chance for one more pop next week.

    Mar 12, 2016 12:44 PM

    The coming week will be an important one for stocks.

    http://schrts.co/fzmPJn

    Mar 13, 2016 13:38 AM

    Thank you for the show guys,
    Much appreciated as per usual.
    Cheers.

      Mar 13, 2016 13:37 AM

      I am continually impressed that with Big Al having such a full plate in his personal life, and with Cory’s travels, that they are able to seamlessly string together great show after great show with so many wonderful guests. It is appreciated!

    Mar 13, 2016 13:32 AM

    Your gratitude Skeeta shows none of us should take KER for granted! Best, A

    Mar 13, 2016 13:27 AM

    In 1961 it took 7 $5 US bills to buy one ounce of gold. Today 65 years later it takes 250. Canada is the first G 7 country now out of gold…WHAT THE HELL? Take heed: Inflation tax can only grow exponentially.
    Scroll down to SGT’s Junius Maltby: Warning from Canada.

    http://sgtreport.com/page/7/

      bb
      Mar 13, 2016 13:26 AM

      I listened to that the other day.
      He makes a comment of Canadians heading south for medical issues, thats true, then he says “higher quality care”, not true.

    Mar 13, 2016 13:33 AM

    ………………………………………..SUNDAY LAUGH……………………………………………….
    It appears Obama is going to visit the UK next month, with the aim to help boost camerons campaign to keep the UK in the EU. The elite must be getting desperate,why else would they roll out the little gun.
    Somebody ought to tell Obama, that he is as popular as bush, & blair in this country.

      Mar 13, 2016 13:19 AM

      He has to pick up his last check in person.. and…the queen wants to give back the VCR tapes , that she received as the exchange gifts when he entered office.

        Mar 13, 2016 13:20 AM

        9 1/2 months to go………….tell this (fill in the blank) exits office…

          Mar 13, 2016 13:21 AM

          tell to till ………but, you can tell everyone you know……. 🙂

          Mar 13, 2016 13:10 PM

          that’s enough time to pop out a new baby candidate that may be better than them all.

    Mar 13, 2016 13:12 AM

    No don’t whisper a word Tony. Obama could be our secret weapon for ensuring a Brexit! Besides Blair has already nailed his colours to the stayers so we’re already half way there!.Best, A

    CFS
    Mar 13, 2016 13:34 AM
    Mar 13, 2016 13:39 AM

    Hello Andrew….I for one did not want in, so I am voting out.
    I can not believe all the scare tacking lies that they are coming out with to get the people to stay in. Its the same program they used with Scotland.

    CFS
    Mar 13, 2016 13:55 AM

    OFF Topic:
    The other side of the story:
    https://youtu.be/TEIcIs0uPfA

    CFS
    Mar 13, 2016 13:04 AM

    Dick Tracy, I apologize.
    Ihad not seen this before.
    http://www.houstonchronicle.com/opinion/outlook/article/Bush-Why-I-m-supporting-Ted-Cruz-for-president-6883230.php
    Ted Cruz is clearly lacking in judgement, or more of an insider than I thought.

    Although, I personally think Cruz was probably given a Hobson’s choice of join the neocons or be taken down by the establishment of neocons.

    Mar 13, 2016 13:36 AM

    Rubio says the Trump vote could cost us the republic. Most are voting Trump to get the high jacked republic back. Rubio is such a DA..

      Mar 13, 2016 13:07 PM

      I think he is part of the hijacking……..BUSH EXTENSION

        Mar 13, 2016 13:25 PM

        There is no one ……….this is the biggest mess in our lifetime, or close to it.

    Mar 13, 2016 13:38 AM

    Indicators on gold and miners are looking seriously weak!

    bb
    Mar 13, 2016 13:51 AM

    The Donald shows no sign of toning down his rhetoric, threatening to send his supporters to the campaign rallies of “Communist friend” Bernie Sanders and hammering Kasich’s “Ohio recovery” narrative

    Zerohedge today.

    I sorta forget, who was the last guy in an industrialized nation that used this tactic during elections?

    Good grief there is even blatant “communist” accusations, lol
    Who was it that didnt like communists?
    Geez ya gotta be uneducated to miss whats happening.
    Well…… or really really stupid I guess.

    I think a big positive is that this is a sign that the final days of this empire are numbered.

    But geez, it take the destruction of cities,mass deportations, mass murders, hunger etc.

    Just look at the films of the end of the last fascist states for whats coming, its step by step like the script is being followed one more time.

    I mentioned this a few years ago, “step by step”, now it accelerates.

    What they say?, “repeat the same things expecting dif results is insanity”?
    Well, we got a little insanity happening I would say, but whata I no?

    I wouldnt live in an American city now for millions of dollars, the experience thats coming will really ruin a persons day.

    Dont forget to vote, lol

      Mar 13, 2016 13:58 AM

      +1

    Mar 13, 2016 13:08 PM

    Gold has now closed above the 150 week MA for the second consecutive week. It’s been three years…

    http://schrts.co/sl8CPe

      Mar 13, 2016 13:11 PM

      Mathew,

      What do you attribute this to and can we quote you?

        Mar 13, 2016 13:19 PM

        Al, I attribute this to greater strength in gold than many seem to recognize. Whether gold pulls back some before going higher or not, I believe the bear market is dead.

        I don’t know if I’m very quotable, but feel free to quote me.

          Mar 13, 2016 13:36 PM

          I happen to agree with you Matthew.

    Mar 13, 2016 13:14 PM

    Investors can ignore the noise and play the big mean reversion. This chart says you should favor silver and the junior miners, not gold and the senior miners…

    http://schrts.co/ugQh4a

      Mar 13, 2016 13:45 PM

      Volatility aside, this points to significant further upside for the miners (and silver vs gold):

      http://schrts.co/MFe2jQ

        GH
        Mar 14, 2016 14:17 AM

        Very interesting chart!

      Mar 13, 2016 13:46 PM

      Excellent. I’ve already migrated my focus over to the Silver miner and Junior Gold miners.

        Mar 13, 2016 13:16 PM

        Hope that works for you as I am doing the same thing.

        Mar 13, 2016 13:13 PM

        We should really have a third category: Silver&Gold miners. These are companies that have significant revenue from both gold and silver. It gets confusing, as companies tend to have the lesser, minority metal report to the majority metal.

        I really like the Au/Ag mix producers in my portfolio: MUX, CDE, KLDX, and that absolutely adorable ASM.

          Mar 13, 2016 13:39 PM

          So many over here Brian are poly-metallic Brian,
          Not pure gold nor silver plays.
          Its gets hard some times (for me anyhoo) as they often put out rather skimpy announcements regarding gold or silver equivalent ounces mined.
          Rather than give you the broader breakdown of exactly what else they are recovering, like copper, zinc, lead etc.
          It annoys me that I often have to dig deep through reports to find out exactly what is going on…..Companies should be more transparent imo.
          I don’t like smoke & mirrors shenanigans.
          Cheers.

          Mar 13, 2016 13:35 PM

          Hecla also now has more revenue from Gold than Silver. Tahoe just bought Lake Shore Gold, Silver Standard bought Claude. I also really like Mandalay Resources and Sierra Metals with a mix of Gold & Silver & Base Metals.

            Mar 14, 2016 14:02 AM

            Starcore International is another small Gold Silver Base metal producer like that.

            Maya Gold and Silver is another small producer with both.

            Sabina Gold & Silver and Paramount Gold both are interesting development companies with nice Gold/Silver mixes.

            Mar 14, 2016 14:05 AM

            Also the project generator companies often have exposure to Gold, Silver, and Base metals:

            Strategic Metals, Eurasian Minerals, Millrock Resources, First Mining Finance, Idaho North, and Transition Metals are a few that come to mind.

            Lastly what about the Streamers (They’re all polymetallic now).

    Mar 13, 2016 13:04 PM

    I find it interesting how on the weekend show they were saying financing for drilling/exploration & for Junior mining upgrades to infrastructure is almost non existent at PDAC.
    The tide over here for investment in all the above has changed from that imo….not fer $h#t companies with no real prospects, but small juniors almost ready to begin production/micros with past impressive drill prospects have both been heading to the market to raise funds & often announce over subscription to what they were hoping to raise.
    I am reading this on a weekly basis on the ASX.
    Example…here is today’s one.
    http://www.proactiveinvestors.com.au/companies/news/67489/blackham-resources-ltd-pockets-a203m-in-oversubscribed-raising-67489.html
    With the Canadian $ losing value against the US $ like my Aussie $ has, I thought some $ would have flowed into these Canadian listed prospects?…no?…it surprises me……but anyhoo.

    *Admittedly (so you know this isnt a stock pump)….I am a shareholder of BLK with an average in buy price of A$ 0.215
    Cheers.

      Mar 13, 2016 13:47 PM

      Thanks Skeeta. I appreciate the perspective on the ASX listed PM miners. I am learning more and more about more companies I have not been following as closely in Australia, Africa, and Asia.

      Very interesting point about the quality Jr development companies being able to raise financing easily. Also thanks for the heads up on Blackham Resources (but alas, it has no OTC). Darn I need to switch trading platforms so I can trade on the other international exchanges directly.

      Yes, it is a telling sign that most of the PDAC is skimpy on the exploration and drill results. There is little money going towards exploration at this point, and the market has shrugged off good drill results much of the time the last few years. I truly believe that is about to change though. I sense that genuine interest and institutional investors are starting to take positions, and they will recognize when a company is actually advancing their projects.

      Starting in 2016 and moving into 2017 and 2018 the surviving companies with real assets and real business plans may just surprise the investing universe by running their companies like the businesses they are meant to be. I remain optimistic that real exploration will start up again (mostly organic near a companies existing mines, and some JVs between larger Mid-Tiers or Majors and smaller prospect generators). The rest of the growth with be through acquisition and mergers. People will buy the most attractive assets first (de-risked producers or nearly complete development companies), then start moving down the line in asset size, jurisdiction, permitting completion, and Feasibility Studies completed.

      I look forward to the next 2 years and think there will be a lot of great opportunities.

        Mar 14, 2016 14:25 AM

        Get an international online brokerage a/c Excelsior,
        They are as cheap as chips today afterall, you are doing yourself a disfavour imo by not having one imo?….but anyhoo.
        You have some interest in African mining?..yeah?
        ASX.GRY sold its gold & copper Mauritanian interests today to Algold to concentrate on its Burkino Faso interest.
        Cheers.

        ASX.GRY is a core holding of mine.

          Mar 14, 2016 14:50 AM

          Yes, agreed Skeeta. I’ve been putting off the big movement of assets, but I guess I could just start a new trading platform for only the foreign exchanges, without having to sell everything and move it over to a new platform.

          As for Gryphon Minerals, yes. I first saw them on a Perseus Mining corporate presentation, then made the mistake last time we discussed it of going down the Gryphon Metals wormhole, and felt like an idiot for not searching for the ticker that was on my watchlist for Gyrphon Minerals. I like Burkina Faso and there are a lot of mines getting permitted and being constructed all over W. Africa. There’s a number listed up above.

      Mar 15, 2016 15:24 AM

      Skeeta: My view why Canadian projects haven’t done what Aussie projects have achieved is that when A$ fell it improved their cost profile–they are not so dependent on imports. In case of Canada, fall in C$ also meant increase in import costs–and these imports alas are from the US.