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Jordan Roy-Byrne – Balancing The Precious Metals Technicals With The Macroeconomic Fundamentals

Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, MFTA, Editor of The Daily Gold joins me to review the charts of gold, silver, GDX, GDXJ, and SILJ, but also discuss why he is not just relying on technicals alone and encourages investors to consider the macroeconomic factors underpinning the market moves.

 

Gold prices have remained well bid lately, even despite so much volatility in both the commodities and US equities lately.  Jordan outlines some support and resistance levels to watch, but reiterates he’ll be most closely watching the macro developments in the economy like the Fed rate cutting cycle, the steepening of the yield curve, and the health of the economy in various data for underlying trends. We review that gold has made some progress in relation to the S&P 500 and 60/40 portfolio, but that on both ratio charts there is still stiff overhead resistance that must be cleared to really bring more buying and momentum into the entire precious metals sector.

 

We next review the weaker action in the mining stocks ETFs lately, and in particular the weakness in silver, in alignment with most other base metals the last couple months, in renewed concerns about sliding into a recession.  Despite this recent weakness in silver, it has still greatly outperformed copper, and it’s possible most of the downside chart damage has already been inflicted at these levels, as it pulled back from above $32 to the high $26 pricing level.  Jordan believes that when gold really breaks out versus US equities, it will drag silver higher.

 

Wrapping up we get Jordan’s take on if he’d be more heavily weighted to gold stocks over silver stocks, or stocks that have garnered a solid bid on the last few rallies, and he points out that it really must be taken on a case by case situation based on the company fundamentals value drivers at today’s metals prices.

 

 

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Click here to visit Jordan’s site – The Daily Gold

Discussion
6 Comments
    Aug 07, 2024 07:52 PM

    There are still a lot of people who don’t understand the value of silver, today I met a couple of Canadian pickers who bought a lot of silver cutlery from the 1930’s at a thrift store that is .9999 pure silver for about $1 an ounce. Those days are coming to a close. I told them to hang on, because the price is headed up. LOL! DT

      Aug 07, 2024 07:16 PM

      Nvidia update, today NVDA closed below $100 per share at $98.91. It wiped out $130 billion. I knew the bargain hunters would be back on Monday, but I felt Nvidia was going to soon breach that all important number of $100. For anybody who thinks that isn’t a big deal let me tell you “THAT IS A BIG DEAL”! DT

      Aug 07, 2024 07:21 PM

      The thrift store owner had to make a profit so maybe bought it for 75 cents an ounce??

    Aug 08, 2024 08:24 AM

    Guys, take a look at LODE

      Aug 08, 2024 08:28 AM

      Unbelievable! That is crazy! DT

    Aug 08, 2024 08:00 PM

    This week’s IPT dip to a new low allowed IPT vs QQQ to perfectly hit a support before reversing…
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IPT.V%3AQQQ&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=0&id=p40961984676&a=1718741939