Nick Hodge – Macroeconomic Market Movers And Investing Themes For Oil, Gold, and Uranium Stocks
Nick Hodge, Co-Owner of Digest Publishing and editor of Foundational Profits and Hodge Family Office, joins me for an expanded conversation into the macroeconomic data that is moving the general equities markets and the commodities. We take a deeper dive into the fundamental and technical reasons he remains constructive for oil, gold, and uranium stocks, and what he doing in his own portfolio.
We start off discussing how the inflation trends and economic data is shaping the view of a potential Fed rate cut in September, and what the actual impact of a single cut or 2 cuts this year would be for many market sectors. Nick outlines the potential effects the rate cuts could have on commodities like gold and copper, but also real estate, utilities, small cap stocks, and other interest rate sensitive sectors. He is encouraged by the more subdued volatility across many asset classes and believes that the general equities are poised to keep making more all-time highs for the balance of this year.
When reviewing the commodities sector, he points to both oil and gold stocks as 2 areas he is positioned in and constructive on the setup in both commodities and related resource stocks. Nick also shares his personal experience, key takeaways, and future considerations having been on the Yukon site visit tour, as the news broke about the heap leach failure at Victoria Gold’s (TSX: VGCX) Eagle Mine last month. He discusses their balance sheet and ongoing concerns, and what impact it may have on permitting and future heap leach proposals in the Yukon for companies like Banyan Gold (TSX.V:BYN)(OTCQB:BYAGF) and Western Copper and Gold (TSX: WRN) (NYSE: WRN). He also floats the idea that Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL), being the only operator still producing up there, may take the opportunity to consolidate more companies in the Yukon.
Wrapping up, Nick unpacks why he is still bullish and remains a buyer on dips in the uranium sector, believing the bull market can continue in uranium equities for some time to come. He points to the recent acquisition of Fission Uranium (TSX: FCU) (OTCQX: FCUUF) by Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN) (OTCQX: PALAF) as a constructive transaction in the sector, and recent discoveries by CanAlaska Uranium (TSX.V: CVV) (OTCQX: CVVUF) and Skyharbour Resources (TSX.V: SYH) (OTCQX: SYHBF) as 2 companies that have seen good exploration news rewarded.
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Click here to follow Nick’s analysis and publications over at Digest Publishing
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Too soon for “I told you so” regarding TSLA? Here’s my charts/comments posted on Monday:
https://www.kereport.com/2024/07/08/john-rubino-will-the-higher-gold-and-silver-prices-lead-to-upside-surprises-with-q2-earnings-reports/
Is there enough time left in the month to recapture the breakout level shown on my last chart? Probably not but that still doesn’t guarantee that this is the final top.
Hardly a bullish picture short term:
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24NDX&p=D&yr=1&mn=9&dy=10&id=p17936447901&a=1562826881
This remains true:
Matthew
Jul 06, 2024 06:48 PM
The message here is clear: Sell SPY and Buy GDX.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY%3AGDX&p=D&yr=1&mn=7&dy=0&id=p59981978806&a=1718737173
IPT has had a deep correction spanning 13 weeks yet is still up 35% vs GDX since the sector bottomed in February.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IPT.V%3AGDX&p=D&yr=1&mn=2&dy=0&id=p58649992267&a=1720009260
IPT is a clear buy vs QQQ and is still up 70% vs QQQ since IPT bottomed in February.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IPT.V%3AQQQ&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=0&id=p58221290174&a=1718741939
The Canadian peso just might finish the week with a breakout. It’s time:
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24CDW&p=W&yr=3&mn=11&dy=0&id=p45586612541&a=1491282817
How about The American peso, it is no longer The Petrodollar, which means it is backed by hopium. LOL! DT
You should know by now that I am no fan of the anti-free market central banking cartel monetary system which obviously puts the impostor USD at the center but regardless of its petrodollar status it is still the senior reserve currency/”asset” of every central bank. As such, Trudeau’s yuan is merely a derivative of the USD. As Doug Casey might say, if the USD is an “I owe you nothing” then your currency might best be described as a “WHO owes you nothing.”
However, and luckily for Canada’s subjects, it is once again time for Canada’s currency to outperform for awhile.
I don’t like our currency either, however there are more American dollars outside of The US than inside and because it is no longer required to buy Saudi Oil a lot of those dollars will start flooding back from countries all over The World, that held them in reserve to purchase oil. That will create a lot of inflation in The American homeland. When The US catches a cold, we get pneumonia as they like to say. DT
And it’s worse than that. The system is a ponzi scheme that requires endless inflation of the currency supply, i.e., debt.
TLT is ready to fly vs SPY:
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TLT%3ASPY&p=W&yr=5&mn=9&dy=0&id=p55434226962&a=976582407
So much for that potential H&S top in SILJ and others:
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SILJ&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p44012365956&a=1504852587
Tentative monthly breakout for GLD:
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLD&p=M&yr=18&mn=0&dy=0&id=t5332176723c&a=519305834&r=1720731308358&cmd=print
A partial Gartley pattern for Silver has formed,
if it continues down my target is 27.80.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/oc8Z2mNR/
AB (1:1.5) CD = 28.59 (calculated)
32.51 ~ 30.04 ~ 32.29 ~~ 28.59
Silver topped at 31.75, a 78.6% retracement.
AB (1:1) CD = 27.80
32.51 ~ 28.56 (actual) ~ 31.75 ~~ 27.80
This is a hybrid possibility; not pure Gartley.
https://www.fibonomics.com/2024/07/natgas-week-bottom-formation.html
NatGas Week : Bottom Formation
Back to the Breakout!
Silver Leading
PMs Down.
Where’s Joe, scaremongering to sell…
Gold is Ripping this am. It’s a real RIPPER! LOL! DT