Looking Ahead For Tax Reform, Central Banks, Politics, and Gold
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We want to thank you all for listening in this week and hope you all have a great holiday season!
This week’s show has some comments on precious metals, tax reform, and the possibility we see more inflation next year. Please be sure to listen to the company updates and introductions linked below. Our sponsors are the ones who make it able for us to provide all the content we do for free. It is huge help when you send in your questions and contact the companies you are interested in. I love hearing from all of you so please email me at Fleck@kereport.com.
- Segment 1: George Gero, Managing Partner at RBC Wealth Management shares his thoughts on how tax reform will impact retail investors and recaps the year for gold.
- Segment 2: Ivan Bebek, Executive Chairman at Auryn Resources answers the questions you have all sent in over the past couple days.
- Segment 3: John Kaiser shares some research he has done on the trading volume on the Venture exchange. It shows just how ignored the resource sector currently is.
- Segment 4: We wrap up the first hour with Trader Vic Sperandeo and his comments on central bank policy, tax reform, and the historic low volatility in US markets.
- Segment 5: We open KER Politics with Daniel McAdams discussing what he feels are U.S. foreign policy failings.
- Segment 6: We continue our discussion with Daniel McAdams recording questions that we all have about U.S. foreign policy.
- Segment 7: Introducing a new segment called The Boys in the Bar. In this introduction Big Al and Tim Howe discuss sexual harassment.
- Segment 8: We wrap up KER Politics with author Mark Bitz discussing political fallacies.
Exclusive Company Introductions, Updates, and Stock Commentary
Segment 1
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Segment 3
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Segment 4
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Segment 5
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Segment 6
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Segment 7
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Segment 8
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Agreed. George and Trader Vic are always good to hear from in the macro sense.
Cory & Big Al – Thanks for putting together another good weekend show.
And, thanks for your continued input, Excelsior.
Not talking one’s book means that you are not selling a product from which you will gain revenue. I don’t mind when a guest is talking their book as long as every aspect of their book including “buy” and “sell” and not front running is an integral part of the discussion.
Agreed Big Al. I don’t have a problem with someone talking their book as long as they reason why, what they expect, and are balanced with the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats and share information with the heart of a teacher.
That is exactly what we try to promote Exselsior.
Precisely, and that is why listeners and readers come back day after day, week after week.
It is appreciated. There aren’t many good outlets for sharing financial information, but the KER has been a hub of interesting insights for many years now. Many funny characters as well.
Ron Paul would have made a wonderful and sane president. No wonder the CMIC feared him. Daniel McA is a breath of fresh air.
I couldn’t agree more.
Sane people are not allowed.
No worries tho, Bitcoin will save us, thats actually a hellofa marketing scheme.
Ron Pal and Barry Goldwater would have been great presidents. Too bad the media wants corrupt leftists to run our lives.
The media, including FOX, belongs to corrupt leftists.
The system is so thoroughly corrupt that Ron never stood a chance. But his campaigns were great educational experiences for the clueless who were paying attention. He did wake some people up.
Agreed.
Big Al for one, Eddy!
Jerry, way back in 1835 de Tocqueville said as much by observing that (popular) democracy always ends up as tyranny. Seeking to differentiate between an ideology which was safe for personal liberty he deplored all lazy notions of democracy which claim to seek equality for one and all. Ain’t never going to work!
Yes, when you have bad rulers and kings…..the people tremble……
What should the people do if the emperor is wearing no clothes? 🙂
2 headed snake for people that care to notice.
the rest thinks their vote counts for some reason.
Actually, that might make a good psychology course.
My bad, education is controlled too.
The elites ……
In spite of certain minor changes over time, the U.S. republic has doggedly preserved its oligarchic structure, and this is readily apparent in the two major selling points of its contemporary “democratic” publicity campaign. The Establishment and its propagandists regularly insist that a structural aristocracy is a “democracy” because the latter is defined by the guarantee of certain fundamental rights (legal definition) and the holding of regular elections (procedural definition). This is, of course, a purely formal, abstract and largely negative understanding of democracy, which says nothing whatsoever about people having real, sustained power over the governing of their lives. However, even this hollow definition dissimulates the extent to which, to begin with, the supposed equality before the law in the United States presupposes an inequality before the law by excluding major sectors of the population: those judged not to have the right to rights, and those considered to have lost their right to rights (Native Americans, African-Americans and women for most of the country’s history, and still today in certain aspects, as well as immigrants, “criminals,” minors, the “clinically insane,” political dissidents, and so forth). Regarding elections, they are run in the United States as long, multi-million dollar advertising campaigns in which the candidates and issues are pre-selected by the corporate and party elite. The general population, the majority of whom do not have the right to vote or decide not to exercise it, are given the “choice”—overseen by an undemocratic electoral college and embedded in a non-proportional representation scheme—regarding which member of the aristocratic elite they would like to have rule over and oppress them for the next four years. “Multivariate analysis indicates,” according to an important recent study by Martin Gilens and Benjamin I. Page, “that economic elites and organized groups representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on U.S. government policy, while average citizens and mass-based interest groups have little or no independent influence. The results provide substantial support for theories of Economic-Elite Domination […], but not for theories of Majoritarian Electoral Democracy.”
maybe the results of a study like this should be made public every year until enough people become aware to say it out loud and few people would be surprised.
That way there would be no need for deception and think of all the money saved on elections.
They are a breath of fresh air, Bob, and that is way I am setting up a regular monthly donation from Kathy and I to the institute.
You too are a breath of fresh air Bob.
A Millennial Job Interview
Gold Gains Ground Amid Strong Equities and U.S. Dollar
Gary Wagner – December 15, 2017 #TechnicalAnalysis #Charts #VIDEO
#Gold #Silver #DOW #Bitcoin
https://thegoldforecast.com/video/gold-gains-ground-amid-strong-equities-and-us-dollar
Ira Epstein’s Metals #Video (12/15/2017)
#TechnicalAnalysis #Gold #Silver #Copper #Platinum #Bitcoin
Gold Stocks Blastoff In Play
Morris Hubbartt – Dec 15, 2017
Super Force #PreciousMetals #TechnicalAnalysis #Charts #VIDEO
[Click on the Purple Links to see the Video segments]
$GDX $SIVR $U $AEM $ABX $GBTC $DPM $EXK $AG $DUST $NUGT
Good GDXJ chart from @Goldfinger over at ceo.
@Goldfinger – “$GDXJ has its work cut out for it now after last week’s bounce, could easily get up to $33 area before year end, needs weekly close above $33 to confirm bottom is in place:”
Gold Is Giving Us Clues That It’s Going to Rally Big Time
Daniela Cambone – Friday December 15, 2017
“The last three days have reconfirmed by commitment for a much higher gold price in 2018. We are making higher lows for the year – the recent behavior made me nervous, but something very telling happened in the last three days,” said Vince Lanci, founder of Connecticut-based Echobay Partners.
Gold Bullish on Fed Hike 2
Adam Hamilton – Dec 15, 2017
“Gold has been battered lower in recent months as gold-futures speculators fled in dread of the Fed-rate-hike boogeyman. As universally expected, the Fed’s 5th rate hike of this cycle indeed came to pass this week. When gold didn’t collapse as irrationally feared, the cowering futures traders were quick to start returning. Past Fed rate hikes have actually proven very bullish for gold, and this latest one will be no exception.”
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/hamilton/hamilton121517.html
Hummingbird Resources plc $HUM.L $HUMRF Ore Commissioning Commenced at Yanfolila
15 Dec 2017
“Hummingbird Resources is pleased to announce that ore commissioning has commenced at the Yanfolila Gold Mine in #Mali #WestAfrica
• Introduction of ore to the mill and the carbon in leach (“CIL”) process plant from the runof-mine pad stockpile has commenced
• First #gold #production expected before the end of December
• Commercial ramp up during Q1 2018 with a target of delivering c.130,000 ounces of gold during the first full year of production
– Dan Betts, CEO of Hummingbird, commented:
“Ore commissioning represents the final step ahead of first #gold #production at Yanfolila. Everybody on site is totally focused on a smooth ramp up of the plant as we look to move into the production phase. This is a key transitional moment for Hummingbird, transforming the Company from a #developer to a #producer. Our first year’s production is expected to be around 130,000oz of gold, which is projected to generate around US$70m of free cash flow at a US$1,250 gold price. I look forward to reporting news of our first gold pour in the very near future.”
http://hummingbirdresources.co.uk/_downloads/Ore_Commissioning_Commenced_at_Yanfolila_151217.pdf
Photo Gallery of Hummingbird’s Yanfolila Mine & Mill:
Yanfolila Gold Project Drone Capture – October 2017
Not what you think…………….
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-15/us-not-democracy-it-never-was
Silver stealers.net……..wake up sheeple……..
Should Bitcoin Make Speculators Nervous? w/ Rick Ackerman #AudioInterview
December 14, 2017 – talkdigitalnetwork – Howe Street
To the moon with Crypto Wars — Issue No. 6
Your dose of Crypto news and analysis from @BTO and @Goldfinger
(cram-packed with different links & graphics)
(HIVE) (PRELF) HIVE Blockchain Will Have $50 Million in Revenue Per Year: Frank Holmes
“In this interview with SmallCapPower at Mines and Money London 2017, U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes describes what attracted him to invest in HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. (TSXV:HIVE) and compares Bitcoin to what email was at the dawn of the Internet age. He also talks about what he thinks the future will hold for Bitcoin and Blockchain and provides a stock pick in the space.”
Now the Big Money is Flowing Into Cryptocurrency Mining
by @currencyfrontier on December 14, 2017
https://ceo.ca/@currencyfrontier/now-the-big-money-is-flowing-into-cryptocurrency-mining
NEW YORK (AP) — The public’s interest in all things bitcoin and efforts by entrepreneurs to fund their businesses with digital currencies is starting to draw more attention from regulators.
The head of the Securities and Exchange Commission this week warned investors on the risks of investing in largely-unregulated digital currencies. And another federal agency is now proposing to regulate bitcoin trading like other regulated commodities such as wheat, oil, gold and silver.
Just this month, the SEC halted two attempts to raise money through what’s known as an initial coin offering. Legal experts believe this signals that a crackdown on sketchy offerings is coming.
“The SEC has given so many warnings now that people should know they are on notice,” said Joshua Klayman, a lawyer with the firm Morrison & Foerster who specializes in legal issues related to digital currencies.
The world of bitcoin and digital currencies can be split into large branches. There are investors who buy the currencies like bitcoin and ethereum. Related but separate from the currencies is an event known as an initial coin offering, or ICO, which allow startups to use the technology behind bitcoin, known as blockchain, to fund projects.
With an ICO, a startup will issue a currency, or sometimes called a token, that can be used to buy services with the company. For example, a startup offering online storage could have tokens that can be used to buy storage.
ICOs have soared in interest this year. CoinSchedule, which tracks the ICO market, says 234 ICOs this year have raised $3.7 billion for startups. In 2016, 46 ICOs raised less than $100 million.
How these tokens are marketed has become a central question for the SEC. Companies issuing tokens that are usable on their own platform right now aren’t a concern, but when the company’s marketing implies that these tokens can appreciate in value, that becomes a red flag.
Bitcoin’s Market Cap Surpasses the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights Reserves
3 hours ago | Jamie Redman
https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoins-market-cap-surpasses-the-imfs-special-drawing-rights-reserves/
South Korea Releases Emergency Measures for Cryptocurrency Regulation
1 day ago | Kevin Helms
https://news.bitcoin.com/south-korea-emergency-cryptocurrency-regulation/
Top German Economist Says There Are Strong Reasons to Regulate Bitcoin
Francisco Memoria on 16/12/2017
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/top-german-economist-says-strong-reasons-regulate-bitcoin/
France Allows Trading of Unlisted Securities on Blockchain Platforms
Samburaj Das on 16/12/2017
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/france-allows-trading-unlisted-securities-blockchain-platforms/
Israel’s Prime Minister Asks the Question: Can Bitcoin Destroy Banks?
Cindy Huynh on 15/12/2017
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/israels-prime-minister-believes-bitcoin-will-destroy-banks/
Bitcoin ‘Keeping Me Awake at Night’: Bank of Canada Governor
This central banker is losing sleep over bitcoin.
Josiah Wilmoth on 15/12/2017
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/bitcoin-keeping-awake-night-bank-canada-governor/
At $300 Billion, Bitcoin Is Now the World’s 15th Most Valuable Liquid Currency
Josiah Wilmoth on 15/12/2017
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/300-billion-bitcoin-now-worlds-15th-valuable-liquid-currency/
$530 Billion: Cryptocurrencies Become More Valuable Than Facebook
Josiah Wilmoth on 15/12/2017
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/530-billion-cryptocurrencies-become-valuable-facebook/
Chart from Convoy Investments shows Bitcoin has surpassed the Tulip Bubble:
http://cdn.ceo.ca/1d3aqnl-Schermafbeelding%202017-12-16%20om%2019.49.50.png
Let’s hope that the end results are not similar Excelsior.
With the rise of so many competing cryptos and other forks into different bitcoin variations on different blockchains, its hard not to see it ending like all the previous parabolic moves. Whatever happens, it has been significant, and many books and documentaries will be made about this period of time.
https://karendworaczyk.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/biggerbetterbubbles.jpg
However…. There is this aspect to consider: If Central Banks buy Cryptos, it would be an interesting change. Some are more constructive on this idea that others, but it is worth keeping an eye on.
____________________________________________________________________________
2018: The Year Central Banks Begin Buying Cryptocurrency
Eugéne Etsebeth – Dec 17, 2017
https://www.coindesk.com/2018-year-central-banks-begin-buying-cryptocurrency/
Waste of time…………Howe street……..jmo
Some of these morons…did not think 9/11 took place…….
I posted it because Rick Ackerman was the guest. I think he’s a pretty smart guy.
Here’s another Howe Street interview with another frequent guest here at the KER:
What Can Take the Bloom Off the Cobalt Rose?
December 15, 2017 – w/ John Kaiser
https://www.howestreet.com/2017/12/15/what-can-take-the-bloom-off-the-cobalt-rose/
Some guys can be smart in their own areas of expertise and be dumber than a box of rocks……… 🙂
I’d agree OOTB. Mechanics may be able to fix my car, or Nutritionists may know a great deal about a healthy diet, or realtors may know about comps in my area, but these “experts” are often clueless on money, love, raising children, or in social interactions.
As far as finances go, I still think that is Rick Ackerman’s area of expertise, hence why I posted it. 😉
🙂
I also enjoy it when Rick gets fired up on a good rant. (lol)
Maybe he could brush up on 9/11……. 🙂
I occasionally hear good interviews on Howe Street. It’s like anything, you have to shuck a number of oysters to find a few pearls.
Its the same with Zero Hedge. 90% of their articles are BS or over-hyped or half-wrong, but that doesn’t stop people from eating up most of their garbage.
Really that is the way with most sites. People throw stones at Kitco, but once in a while they have a good interview. I believe in giving credit where credit is due, regardless of if some past stories are dubious.
KeReport blog seems to reference most of the valuable stories.
I’d agree CFS. The KER has a good composite from everyone on the news of the day.
That is because most on the KERites, have done their …….DD……
Same can be said of KWN.
Follow the Money in Blockchain; Companies Mentioned- Marathon Patent Group, IBM, Toyota, HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd
Marketwired – Dec. 15, 2017
“According to Research and Markets the Global Blockchain market is estimated to reach $6,076.6M by 2023, and expected to grow at a CAGR of 48.37% during the forecast period. The North American region is dominating the global Blockchain market.”
“Money is flowing into the sector as the global potential is being recognized. ”
“HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. (Quote) announced up to $100 Million Financing (led by GMP Securities L.P. and Eventus Capital Corp.) and that it has entered into binding letter agreements dated December 13, 2017 with its strategic partner and major shareholder, Genesis Mining Ltd., the largest digital currency mining hashpower provider, to significantly expand the Company’s digital currency mining operations in Sweden in 2018, including the addition of a large-scale Bitcoin mining facility.”
“”The addition of Bitcoin mining capability further establishes HIVE as a leader in digital currency mining and diversifies our revenue with a highly liquid currency,” commented Harry Pokrandt, President, CEO and a Director at HIVE. “Our new Bitcoin facility will be among the most energy-efficient and largest Bitcoin mining farms in Europe. This facility will complement our large-scale GPU-based facilities being built in Sweden and currently operating in Iceland, and allow us to diversify from mining GPU-driven consensus algorithms to also include SHA-256 consensus algorithms. Sweden, like Iceland, is an excellent jurisdiction for HIVE with its abundant cheap electricity, good governance, and cool climate.”
Millennials and Gen Xers trust Fintech more than baby boomers: report
December 17, 2017 By Jayson Maclean
Animation: Visualizing the ICO Explosion (wow)
Jeff Desjardins – The Visual Capitalist – December 12, 2017
http://www.visualcapitalist.com/video-ico-explosion-one-animated-timeline/
Peter Spina: Embrace Bitcoin – When Commodities Move Just Imagine the Potential
Collin Kettell- PalisadeRadio December 17, 2017 #AudioInterview Cryptocurrencies
Japan Nuclear Update
Japan’s Ohi 3, 4 Clear to Restart
Nov. 30, 201
“The governor of Fukui prefecture in southwest Japan on Nov. 27 approved the restart of Kansai Electric Power Co.’s Ohi 3 and 4 reactors. The decision clears the final regulatory hurdle for the restart of both reactors early next year.”
“All Japan’s 48 reactors were shut between 2011 and 2012 after the March 2011 Fukushima Daiichi accident. Five reactors have since resumed commercial operation after meeting revised regulatory standards—Takahama 3 and 4, Ikata 3, and Sendai 1 and 2. Twelve other reactors at six sites now have been approved for restart, the Japan Atomic Industrial Forum said. ”
Chinese firm eyes Nuclear Energy cooperation in Africa
Xinhua| 2017-12-14
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-12/14/c_136826339.htm
Power button for floating Nuclear Plant will be pushed in Murmansk next autumn
Rosenergoatom brings a new era for electricity production to the Russian Arctic.
By Thomas Nilsen – December 15, 2017
Finnish cities Investigate the Potential for Small Nuclear Reactors to Decarbonize District Heating
13 December 2017
Swiss People Confirm that Nuclear Power has an Important Role to Play in a Transition to a Low-Carbon economy
Bern, Sunday 27th November 2017
Russia signs deal to build Egypt’s first nuclear power plant
11 Dec, 2017
https://www.rt.com/business/412727-russia-egypt-nuclear-power-plant/
Nuclear, renewables to help French CO2 reduction goals, Macron says
Reuters – 13 hours ago
Uranium Investment Panel with Rick Rule
Cambridge House – Nov 27, 2017 #VIDEO
– Left to Right: Dev Randhawa $FCU (Fission), Amir Adnani $UEC (UEC), Jordan Trimble $SYH (Skyharbour), David Cates $DNN (Denison)
– Moderator: Rick Rule
Stars “may be aligning” for the long-awaited Uranium market recovery
J. Birks Bovaird | December 08, 2017
My 2018 Uranium Outlook: Two Major Catalysts Change the Game
December 8, 2017 – Marin Katusa
https://katusaresearch.com/2018-uranium-outlook-two-major-catalysts-change-game/
Is Uranium Set for a Bull Market? Adam Rodman | Real Vision Video
Real Vision – Dec 8, 2017
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=LiEgtW1vxcA&app=desktop
Candleglance chart of 12 Uranium companies recent performance:
$U.TO $URA $CCJ $UUUU $URG $UEC $DNN $NXE $UEX.TO $GXU.V $SYH.V $DYLLF
McAdams was a good listen. Thanks. On Israel: someone said recently, they’ll fight Iran down to the last American. Netanyahu is more powerful than any 10 sitting Senators you can name.
On S. Arabia, I believe Kissinger was the architect of the petro $ scheme where we would buy their oil and protect them provided they accepted nothing but USDs for their oil. These dollars then were encouraged to be funneled through NY banks into US debt and stocks and whatever. The game is still going on and likely will until oil loses out to other forms of energy. jmo
Some (or possibly many) Israelis think their tribe runs America and have a wide latitude in what they can do or get others to do their bidding. If more Americans recognized this and understood how to hold the line I think the world would be a better place
i happen to agree with you, terra.laser
Sharon to Peres: We Control America
https://www.mediamonitors.net/perspectives/sharon-to-peres-we-control-america/
This is the United States of Israel and don’t you ever forget it. Now get back to work so you can pay those taxes that help fund the Israelie gooberment.
Did you catch the date on that article? It was 2001, Eddy.
Has anything changed, Mr. Big Al Korelin?
I think that article is as relevant today as it was then.
If anything, their power seems only to have grown in that time, as 9/11 played into their hands; Bill Clinton’s deregulation of the mass media has led to further consolidation of media under Jewish control; and of course, George W. Bush entered office surrounded by Zionist Neocons in 2001.
I do think they are over-playing their hand, though. Their atrocious behavior is widely recognized outside of countries like the US where they control the media and politics. Even in the USA, the free pass they have been given since WW2 is wearing off.
Great comment Silverdollar,thank you. Internationally, everything does seem to tie together doesn’t it!
Bitcoin crushes $19,000 record brushing aside worries of potential bubble
The virtual currency has added another fifth to its value this week following the start of bitcoin futures trading on the Chicago-based Cboe last weekend. Its crosstown rival, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group plans to launch its own version of bitcoin futures trading on December 18, while the NASDAQ said it is getting ready for a similar launch in 2018.
@RT
“boys at the bar” M Fulp has been calling one of his vids “at the bar” for awhile.
Maybe we are finding out the industry is full of lushes? Would explain a few things.
At the bar might be apropos to talk harassment.
Guilty, until proven innocent.
Great way to end someones career or boost a bank account.
It really doesnt matter if a person is innocent or not, once a person publicly says that ,
there are always people that believe it.
That is so true b.
Mr. Big Al Korelin,
Speaking of sexual harassment what do the boys in the bar have to say about this monkeying around?
Disturbing animal nature…. Reminds me of most frat boys.
And just think , these are some of our leaders……….
The deer definitely have a sexual harassment case against those monkeys.
But lets face it. Our politicians like Conyers are worse than the monkeys! You can bet the monkeys are NOT paying off the deer from a slush fund of money stolen from other monkeys!
Ah, but Ebolan, it’s female monkeys having their way with the deer.
And as we all know, only males are capable of sexual misconduct. The deer must have incited it all.
James Grant: Markets Trust Too Much in the Presence of Central Banks
Christoph Gisiger – Dec 11th 2017
https://www.fuw.ch/article/james-grant-markets-trust-too-much-in-the-presence-of-central-banks/
Decay of US Empire……
Note source is RT.
The Empire Strikes Back
Note source is from a galaxy far, far away
(NM) (PSPGF) Northern Empire – Corporate Presentation – December 2017
http://www.northernemp.com/_resources/presentations/corporate-presentation.pdf
Here’s Martenson on ‘Oil’: Rather spooky……….https://www.peakprosperity.com/blog/113557/great-oil-swindle
Another Crypto Milestone: Japanese Company Offers To Pay Employees In Bitcoin
“Employees can receive salaries in bitcoin if they want to. We hope to improve our own literacy of virtual currency by actually using it…”
Zerohedge
If this is true Imo its big news, moves it closer to being a currency.
Re: Segment 8
Some good points made. The gooberment is corrupt and has f’d up so many aspects of the economy. In addition to health care there is higher education.
Today if kids follow the gooberment model they wind up tens of thousands in debt to get their “higher” education. And much of it is nothing but propaganda and much of what isn’t is irrelevant to their careers.
Basically, they are expected to become debt slaves before they become wage slaves. This country is in desperate need of a revolution and it will have to be the young who lead it.
Here is your answer……………..
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-15/us-not-democracy-it-never-was
Jerry you’ve posted this 3X! See my response to your first one!!
🙂
I thought it was worth repeating……..
Why not….democracy should be abolished from all political jargon.
Gold: The Once and Future Money with James Rickards
Cambridge House Published on Dec 4, 2017
Hey OOTB,
I got around to looking at an article you posted the other day:
CME Unveils “Weirdest Chart Ever”
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-04/cme-unveils-weirdest-chart-ever
This chart:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24UST30Y&p=W&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p53693472910&a=511918646
clearly illustrates these conclusions from the article:
”
The cycle has four phases. As with any circular motion, where to begin is arbitrary, so we will begin at the bottom of the economic cycle and work our way to mid-stage expansion.
1. Recession: yield curve moves from flat to steep (upward slope), equity volatility is relatively high.
2. Early-stage recovery: yield curve remains steep, equity volatility begins to fall.
3. Mid-stage expansion: the yield curve starts to flatten, equity volatility remains low.
4. Late-stage expansion: yield curve becomes even flatter, equity volatility soars as fears of recession dominate investor behavior.
(chart originally copied from Mish’s blog)
GH…… thanks for the comparison ………..
Chart: High flying metals to fall back to Earth in 2018
Frik Els | a day ago
http://www.mining.com/chart-high-flying-metals-fall-back-earth-2018/
China’s plan to slowly destroy the U.S. Dollar
by Troy December 16, 2017
“China has long wanted to replace the U.S. as the world’s pre-eminent financial force. President Xi Jinping wants “a great rejuvenation of the Chinese people”. In order to do so, China must replace the USD with something else as the world’s reserve currency.”
“Few countries will accept the Chinese Yuan in international trade. They don’t trust it. And at the moment, there is no other currency that can replace the USD as the world’s reserve currency. The Yen and Euro are even worse than the USD. Japan’s economy has been stuck for the past 2 decades, and nobody knows if the Euro will even be around in 10 years.”
http://bullmarkets.co/chinas-plan-to-slowly-destroy-the-u-s-dollar/
A somewhat misleading headline from Frik.
The headline should be something more like: “Forecasters predict rising precious metals prices and falling industrial metals prices in 2018”.
Agreed. Some of the metals are projected to go higher, and some are projected to return to Earth, so the title could have been better. Only the few brave souls (like yourself) that actually opened up the link and read it would know the truth. 🙂
BMW throws fuel on #Cobalt price fire: ‘we’ll need 10x as much’
Frik Els | 2 days ago
http://www.mining.com/bmw-throws-fuel-cobalt-price-fire-well-need-10x-much/
Australia Cobalt rush accelerates on electric vehicle demand, DRC troubles
Reuters | 2 days ago #EVs
http://www.mining.com/web/australia-cobalt-rush-accelerates-electric-vehicle-demand-drc-troubles/
Bitcoin above 20k and Germany intends to appoint an anti Semitism “czar”.
Minister joins calls for anti-Semitism czar in Germany’s next government
@RT
All I could think to say was wow.
Maybe Im an anti semite, but to me it looks totally obvious who runs things.
Any chance christians might read Bobs post the other day?
naaaa, he’s just an anti semite.
That Israeli stuff is just a conspiracy theory.
Stuff for tin foil hats. lol
I’m persuaded that Ashkenazi Jews are not even Semites.
There is no doubt that Palestinians ARE semites.
Which makes Zionists the most anti-semitic people in the world.
Someone, please, point out my error, if I’ve made one.
You are on point GH. Ashkenazi Jews are not semites but from Khazaria.
Legendary financial and geopolitical analyst Martin Armstrong says the Trump tax cuts are going to be a very positive move for the U.S economy. Armstrong explains, “It’s huge, I cannot tell you how much. . . . Any company that doesn’t bring its cash back under this deal should be sold short, basically. You bring it in because who knows what will happen when the politics change. It’s a one-time deal. You get to bring it in, and you better get it in fast.”
Armstrong thinks you cannot underestimate the effect Trump tax cuts will have on the U.S. economy. Armstrong goes on to say, “It’s monumental. It really is a very pro-business situation, and that’s going to grow jobs, etc. Small businesses and pass-throughs have been abused. They have been abused. A small business tries to get a loan from a bank, and 70% of them are declined. It’s really more of a pro-business type thing. I mean in what you are paying out in taxes, in our office, we could hire ten more people. You have to understand what it does, it then puts pressure on everybody else. We already have Canadian companies standing up and saying we are going to have to move to the United States if this keeps up.”
Armstrong says the rest of the world is freaking out about the Trump tax cuts because they are going to lose business. Armstrong says, “Absolutely, China, I had to fly to London to meet with very senior people and they met me in London. . . . You have to grasp the structural differences outside the United States. . . . If this tax thing goes through, our models are showing we should be reaching the 37,000 to 40,000 level (on the DOW) at least by 2020.”
There is also some bad news. Armstrong is worried about central banks continually buying bonds to suppress interest rates. Armstrong says, “Yes, absolutely. We are in the biggest bond bubble in history, not a stock bubble, but a bubble. . . . The scary thing in Europe is the ECB (European Central Bank) has been basically supporting the governments. It is subsidizing all the governments in the Eurozone. We are looking at almost 10 years of quantitative easing with that, and it hasn’t helped the economy. If the ECB backs off, who’s going to buy the debt?”
How does this end? Armstrong says, “Our computers are showing that interest rates are going to go up faster than anybody has ever seen in history. . . . You are looking at a doubling of interest rates very, very rapidly. . . . Gold and equities are the place to be.”
Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Martin Armstrong…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=240&v=cUgSpEQlTMY
(KAI.AX) (MPJFF)Kairos Minerals Final Strong Results from Mt York Drilling Pave The Way For Resource Upgrade in 2018
http://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20171218/pdf/43q7rq0zwgl3fx.pdf
(EMX) EMX Royalty Options the Greenwood Peak Porphyry Project in Arizona to Antofagasta
by @newsfile on December 18, 2017
https://ceo.ca/@newsfile/emx-royalty-options-the-greenwood-peak-porphyry-project
(OM) Osisko Metals Announces Friendly Acquisition of Pine Point Mining
by @marketwired on December 18, 2017
https://ceo.ca/@marketwired/osisko-metals-announces-friendly-acquisition-of-pine
Looks like AKG has finally bottomed. That’s been a nail-biter and a half
Part of their issue was the pit wall collapse, and then they tried to minimize the impact. When the short seller piece from Muddy Waters came out, they also highlighted how the team at AKG had decided to dig the mine much deeper and narrow to “high grade” the production, which eroded much of the value.
It really hasn’t recovered from that, and the GDXJ rebalance hit it pretty hard this year on top of that. Lastly, Katusa was pumping it with Northern Dynasty, Trek Mining, and Blackbird Energy, and all of those bit the dust when the promotional momentum failed.
Ex– would you dabble here? Supposed to have good management.
I’d consider dabbling at these levels, but really most of the Jr miners sold off pretty hard for the balance of 2017, so there are lots of deals to be found.
It’s easy to imagine Asanko doubling or tripling in the year to come, but I believe some of the smaller producers and developers will outperform it if the metals markets heat up. AKG is going to have a market perception issue to burn off, but sometimes that is the exact place to get a position started, if one believes in the story longer term.
If investors liked Asanko at higher levels, then they should really be intrigued at the current valuation.
I could actually see a larger miner coming in and scooping up the whole project before the share price has a chance to recover, and then they’ll get the credit for right-sizing the operations.
That is what happened to Crocodile Gold was just about to start turning things around and then NewMarket Gold took them over, only to merge eventually with Kirkland Lake.
That seems like a likely trajectory, takeover – 1-2 years of optimization, and then whoever owns scoops them up reaps the benefits.
A portion of the bearish argument has been debunked.
Thx– my sentiments exactly
Hi Al / Cory
It is always good to hear from the likes of George Gero and Vic Sperandeo who aren’t talking their book.