Off-Mic Pre-Call Banter That Set Up Our Tuesday Daily Editorial w/ Dave Erfle
During our daily editorials we often reference a topic or point we had discussed “off-mic” before we start recording the actual segment. Sometimes these discussions are quite engaging and often very insightful. We thrush out different ideas and topics and just casually talk about the markets to get a good back and forth going and an idea of where we may want to go in an interview.
This is short clip from earlier this week on Tuesday in a candid conversation with Dave Erfle, Cory, and Shad as we opine and debate ideas before the segment about the precious metals markets, what data has our attention, and what we may want to discuss. After reviewing the audio file here on Friday night it seemed like it may be interesting for listeners to get a peak behind the veil at how we crunch out different ideas and opposing viewpoints to arrive at a daily editorial. Enjoy!
Great stuff! Thanks for sharing.
Glad you liked it Jetty.
Personally, I thought there were some great insights shared by Dave and Cory, and sometimes our pre-call discussions are just as interesting as the editorials, so this one seemed worth sharing.
I also thought the insights were well presented and loved Dave’s passion. Corey left you guys – too funny!! Picking up my daughter at daycare is also a highlight of my day.
Yeah, that part was pretty funny. 😄
Gold Stocks: The Breakout Is Here
Morris Hubbartt – Oct 8, 2021 – Super Force #PreciousMetals #TechnicalAnalysis #Video
Fantastic. Very spontaneous and packed with good info. Sounds like a very positive alternative format for those situations where everyone is in the same zone. Do it again…and again
Thanks David. Yes, it did seem packed with good info and worth sharing with the KER crew.
The technicals are on Erfle’s side until they’re not. The permabears miss every possible setup up to and including the ones that precede blastoff because they don’t know what they are looking at.
GDXJ finished below its 506 week (10 year) MA for one week in August and two weeks in September and now it has taken it back. That shouldn’t have happened if the bears were still in charge. Yes, that’s a subjective call but as you can see on the following chart, a close above 42 next week would all but seal the fate of those stubborn bears. Likewise, a close below 38.09 (not even a new low) would be bad news for us bulls. Based on more than just price action, the advantage is currently with the bulls.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=W&yr=6&mn=1&dy=0&id=p37022836482&a=1040017498
When it comes to GDXJ priced in gold (GLD), the picture is more compelling.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ%3AGLD&p=W&yr=6&mn=1&dy=0&id=p24833584549&a=1038133247
Good response regarding turns, reclaiming the 10 year moving average, and the GDXJ chart Matthew.
Might be double entry but:
Very spontaneous and informative “real” conversation. Fantastic.
A must listen and looking forward to this format more often.
Don’t pass this one up….
Much appreciated David.
I’ve talked about IPT being a bellwether for many years and it remains such. It topped ahead of the crowd last year and now clearly suggests that the many recent new lows in the sector were really just tests of the lows we saw in August and not breakdowns to be shorted. It never came close to making a new low and, unlike SILJ, PAAS, HL, etc, it is on the cusp of a new weekly MACD buy signal. Also unlike SILJ, PAAS and HL, it never did give any brief or failed weekly chart MACD buy signals during the entire 1+ year correction.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IPT.V&p=W&yr=2&mn=11&dy=11&id=p25249280019&a=941870002
Here’s SILJ for comparison. Look at the difference between those MACDs…
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SILJ&p=W&yr=2&mn=11&dy=11&id=p36086327737
Hecla’s MACD is even further away from a buy but that doesn’t mean it hasn’t bottomed.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HL&p=W&yr=2&mn=11&dy=11&id=p86474412887
Good point Matthew, because the MACD is more of a lagging indicator, and so a stock will bottom and turn higher before it crosses up and shows up as a buy signal on the MACD.
The XAU tested multiple important supports this week and last and now looks unambiguously bullish.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24XAU&p=W&yr=5&mn=5&dy=0&id=p47532815438&a=1012440604
It’s certainly hard oversold…notwithstanding the support, there is a possibility it breaks to minor support, such as 110. I’m not sure this Evergrande and related impact are done. This is a slow moving unwinding (i.e. 6 months) that has the ability to cause lots of gold buying, albeit after a possible ‘margin-call’ drop.
Bombed Out Gold Stocks Showing Relative Strength to the Metal
David Erfle – Friday October 8th, 2021
https://mailchi.mp/a08989b25908/david-erfle-weekly-gold-miner-sector-op-ed-1600158?e=3ac1473fe4