Let’s not be calling for trend changes just because of today’s moves
Cory chats next with Chris Temple about the ECB announcement as well as comments out of OPEC. Even though we are seeing the dollar and Euro move in opposite directions the impact on commodities is muted. This should continue to be a sign for investors.
Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show
We are continuing our effort to expand the content of our site to include more diverse investment topics. We have already received a couple great requests!
To help us tailor our content to your interests please feel free to email your questions on specific companies and different investment topics to Cory (fleck@kereport.com) and/or Al (al@kereport.com).
Real estate bubble, about to be popped…….Charles Smith
Hey Chris, any initial “gut” reaction to Natcore’s 1st tranche? Are you still a buyer?
I still like the company, DGHH
In follow-up to yesterday’s discussion on Chris T.’s blog on Green or Clean Energy stocks and ETFs, I reworked a list that is much more complete and added in some more wind, solar, geothermal (thanks GH !), some energy conservation, and odd energy stories.
Please throw in any other ideas for this sector below that should be added to the list:
GREEN & ClEAN ENERGY STOCKS & ETFs
Company Name Symbol (US Tickers)
8POINT3 ENERGY PARTNERS LP CAFD
ADVANCED BATTERY TECHNOLOGIES INC ABAT
ALGONQUIN POWER AQUNF
ALTERNATIVE EARTH RESCOURCES INC. NGLPF
ALTERRA POWER CORP MGMXF
AMERESCO INC AMRC
AXION POWER INTERNATIONAL INC AXPW
BEACON POWER CORPORATION BCONQ
BORALEX INC BRLXF
BROOKFIELD RENEWABLE ENERGY PARTNERS LP BEP
CALPINE CORPORATION CPN
CANADIAN SOLAR INC CSIQ
CAPSTONE TURBINE CORPORATION CPST
CHINA BAK BATTERY INC CBAK
COVANTA HOLDING CORPORATION CVA
DUKE ENERGY CORPORATION DUK
EATON CORPORATION PLC ETN
First Trust ISE Global Wind Energy Index Fund FAN
First Trust Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund QCLN
FIRST SOLAR INC FSLR
GLOBAL X YIELDCO INDEX YLCO
GOLAR LNG PARTNERS LP GMLP
GREENHUNTER RESOURCES INC GRH
Guggenheim SOLAR ETF TAN
HANWHA Q CELLS CO LTD HQCL
IBERDROLA SA IBDSF
INNERGEX RENEWABLE ENERGY INC INGXF
JA SOLAR HOLDINGS COMPANY LTD JASO
LIME ENERGY COMPANY LIME
Market Vectors® Global Alternative Energy ETF GEX
NATCORE TECHNOLOGY INC NTCXF
NEXTERA ENERGY PARTNERS LP NEP
NORDEX SE NRDXF
NORTHLAND POWER INC NPIFF
OCEAN POWER TECHNOLOGIES INC OPTT
ORION ENERGY SYSTEMS INC OESX
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES INC ORA
PLUG POWER INC PLUG
POWERSHARES GLOBAL CLEAN ENERGY FUND PBD
PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio PBW
PowerShares WilderHill Progressive Energy Portfolio PUW
RESERVOIR CAP CORP RSERF
SAUER ENERGY INC SENY
SOLARCITY CORP SCTY
SUNPOWER CORPORATION SPWR
TERRAFORM POWER INC TERP
TITANIUM CORPORATION INC TITUF
TRINA SOLAR LTD TSL
U.S. GEOTHERMAL INC HTM
Van Eck SOLAR ETF KWT
VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS A/S VWSYF
XZERES WIND CORPORATION XPWR
YINGLI GREEN ENERGY HOLDING COMPANY LTD YGE
hey….EX……didn’t you get the memo…….we are going into other diverse topics…… 🙂
oh, these are other diverse topics………… 🙂
Ha! Yes. Quite diverse……
I don’t follow the green energy space super close, as the Precious Metals, PGMs, Base Metals, Oil, Uranium, and Fertilizers are where I spend most of my focus in the resource and energy space. However, article I posted yesterday on BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto quietly phasing out their coal production brought up why, and it migrated over to green energy as a result.
Sorry about that…..Now let’s get back to Gold & Silver………… 🙂
Read my comment below………..ps…I use to be involved in alternative energy…
Here is an interesting conglomerate of successful people like Bill Gates, Ray Dalio, George Soros, Jack Ma, and Mark Zuckerberg (just to name a few) that have their eyes on the new energy mix, and want to escalate the speed of this transition.
_________________________________________________________________________
INTRODUCING THE BREAKTHROUGH ENERGY COALITION
“THE WORLD NEEDS WIDELY AVAILABLE ENERGY that is reliable, affordable and does not produce carbon. The only way to accomplish that goal is by developing new tools to power the world. That innovation will result from a dramatically scaled up public research pipeline linked to truly patient, flexible investments committed to developing the technologies that will create a new energy mix. The Breakthrough Energy Coalition is working together with a growing group of visionary countries who are significantly increasing their public research pipeline through the Mission Innovation initiative to make that future a reality.”
“The existing system of basic research, clean energy investment, regulatory frameworks, and subsidies fails to sufficiently mobilize investment in truly transformative energy solutions for the future. We can’t wait for the system to change through normal cycles.”
Renewables Take Center Stage In Paris, But How Feasible Are The Plans?
By Robert Rapier – Wed, 02 December 2015
“It is clear given the growth trajectory in the previous graphic that developing countries (like China and India) will be driving emissions for many years to come. To reverse the direction of emissions without crippling development in the developing countries (a non-starter for these countries as India emphasized), we will have to develop solutions that are not only technically viable, but that are cost-competitive with fossil fuels. Further, alternatives must be cumulatively capable of scaling up to displace large amounts of fossil fuels, and they must be convenient if consumers are going to willingly opt for alternatives over fossil fuels.
Is it a tall order? Absolutely. Too often we focus on the technical viability of solutions without proper consideration for economics or scalability. We have had alternatives to fossil fuels for hundreds of years in some cases. We have to recognize that technical viability is only one component of the equation. When economic viability isn’t there, fossil fuels will continue to be used despite alternatives.”
NONE of these are going to work as long as there is OIL MONEY……………
I appreciate your thoughts FFM. Some look to be gaining some traction, some are beaten down, and some may never work. I find it hard to believe than none of them will work out.
The ones I am interested in are the companies like Alterra, Algonquin Power, Brookfield Renewable Energy, Terraform Power, Vestas Wind Systems.
I also think the energy efficiency companies like Lime Energy, Orion Energy Systems, and Ameresco Inc. have interesting business models. They show businesses how to reduce energy consumption and keep a middle man fee, so they just use whatever power is coming in a better way for larger corporations.
As, I said…..I like alternative energy. The USA, has not resolve our energy independence, that was started in the 70’s. We are still hooked to oil, by design.
I know a lot of these alternative energies could and should make money, if the politicians at the highest levels would get out of the way, and therefore the problem.
I completely agree that if the politicians got out of the way it would make things easier in almost every area of life. Maybe we can start up a Green Energy company funded off the wasted salaries of politicians. 🙂 🙂
We would need to be listed under BIO WASTE.
Ha! Yes spending the politicians salaries for fuel would be bio-WASTE. Ha!
*That company Lime Energy has a Bio-waste division where they are pulling power through methane gas off a garbage dump, and powering a small community with it. I thought it was an interesting idea…..
That is another great example , which can be done …
Oops. I forgot Polaris Infrastructure Inc (RAMPF) in the US, or (PIF.TO) Canada. I had pulled it off to the side since GH had brought it up as a geothermal company.
We were discussing the former Magma Energy breaking into Alterra and Polaris.
If, the politics change……..and we get rid of everyone in congress……all the special energy models will work.
The seems to be a shift going on gradually, but some of the antics of the past were exaggerated expectations, and throwing good money at bad companies. There are a few interesting companies in each area (Solar, Wind, Geothermal, and Energy Efficiency) that seem to have interesting business models that are making progress.
Just thought I’d see if anyone was following any of these companies as they do relate to Energy. There is more than just Oil & Gas, although, it is clearly the largest commodity and most heavily traded. We just discuss Oil every day……
Indiana has a MASSIVE WIND FARM……in Northern part of the state……..It looks to be at least 30 miles long…..check it out. The last time I check on it three yrs ago, it was having problems……
CFS…..should know about it….since he lives up there.
Yes, I drove to Chicago twice in the last 2 years and was amazed at how huge that wind farm is in Indiana. My girl and I got out and took pictures of the fields and fields of windmills like tourist geeks. …. Ha!
I even took an alternate route back due to a whole interstate being closed, and even 20-30 miles away from the interstate the windmills kept going and going….
It seems there will be more of all these kinds of ideas as the energy demand to power everyone’s smart phones, electric cars, tablets, smart fridges, etc…. still continues to grow. There will be an energy grid with power coming from many non -conventional sources.
For now, Oil & Nat Gas are so cheap……. everyone is resting on rear ends. It won’t last forever though….
I was in awe, when I first saw it……….HUGE…….it could BE HUGE……jimmy
FFM…tell OWL to stay away from the wind farm..its a bird killer…..
Gator….I would but he does not read the post according to bird……. 🙂
Huge!
Tilting at Windmills: A closer look at Indiana’s expanding wind power industry
By Michela Tindera and Jimmy Jenkins/Indiana University
thanks for the article……….
No NO ..Jerry we can not get rid of congress , I have just applied for planning permission to erect a big chimney above the building to capture all the methane coming from the members therein.
Irishtony, you are going to make an absolute fortune. There is an insane amount of hot air coming from those politicians. Brilliant!
good one IRISH……………..You should cross the pond and run for office…….
Thanks,E, your list is interesting…..I have a lot to work on now!
Glad to share it CFS.
Ok, why is the “green” sector the place to be now? Please explain the reasoning. Thanks
I don’t necessarily think it is the place to be, I am just watching it as there are few interesting companies that people like Marin Katusa and Rick Rule had mentioned, so I thought I’d post a list of companies in case anyone had any thoughts or any other companies they were following.
We were talking about how coal was under pressure, and discussed Oil and Nuclear, but the renewable sector came up as a result. It is still a small faction, and I’m just watching a few of the companies in solar, wind, green for a greater percentage gain if it looks like some of them are bottoming.
Any thoughts you have for or against the sector would be appreciated.
Cheers!
I bet RULE does not have a clue , or ever been in alternative energy….
Logically, they all make sense, one thing is the politics, and I do not see Rule as being that sharp on the topic….jmho….It,is like PM, A controlled subject.
I have listened to about 4-5 interviews in the past with Rick Rule on BNN and Marin Katusa discussing about 7-8 Close ended Funds and Private placements that Rick Rule and Doug Casey and he did into Green Energy in the past. Those 3 were also very involved with Magma Energy in 2010/2011 and admits they were a little early to the party. They all feel now is setting up for an increase in growth in this sector.
Rick & Marin & Doug (love em’ or hate em’) are not idiots, and the fact that they were throwing in some money in this sector got my attention. Rick Rule also believes heavily in the water sector as an interesting place to invest for the longer term.
I did not say they were idiots………far from it…..
Like you said…..they were early…..and I say they will remain early, until the oil problem is resolved
THIS ALTERNATIVE ENERGY….dates back to the 1970’s…that is how many years? 45 years, and it still is not solved…..just saying.
Agreed. It is still far off, and Oil is the 800 lb gorilla in the room. Until Oil prices go back up, then energy and current infrastructure will stay as it is…..
It won’t last forever, and again the Energy efficiency companies can prosper regardless of what form the energy inputs are, since their mission is to reduce energy use of larger companies. Check out Ameresco (AMRC), Lime Energy (LIME), and Orion Energy Systems (OESX), sometime. I’d be curious to get your thoughts on them since you worked in the energy sector in the past.
They’ve gotten beaten down, but their business models are adjusting and a few more companies like this are starting up. It’s an interesting idea.
Hopefully,,,,,,,,,,alternative energy will prevail……..the country needs it.
The Energy Grid will be much healthier if there are multiple inputs into from many sources. This way one commodity will not make or break a certain country.
The future will have a healthy mix of some clean-coal, Oil, Nat Gas, Nuclear (Uranium and possibly Thorium), Solar, Wind, Geothermal, Tidal, Hydro-electric, and all the batteries (Lithium, Graphite, hydrogen cells, etc…).
It all boils down to EROEI to me — Energy return on energy invested. Virtually no one talks about this.
I agree there will be a mix of energy sources in the future. But I haven’t heard of any with anywhere near the EROEI of 20th century OIL. But I’m all ears.
Great point GH. Nuclear is one of the best all around returns because the plants can be updated to go from 30-40 years to around 60 years.
As for the renewable sector efficiencies, I remember reading about this group that had taken this exact topic into account to figure out the efficiency of each form of energy and actually mapped out all 50 states in the US as to what the efficiency savings would be.
I found this article that goes over the basic premise:
___________________________________________________________________________
June 8, 2015
Stanford engineers develop state-by-state plan to convert U.S. to 100% clean, renewable energy by 2050
https://news.stanford.edu/pr/2015/pr-50states-renewable-energy-060815.html
OK – I finally found their website. They have spent a considerable amount of time to go through the efficiency savings in all 50 states in the US. Click on a state on the map and they give you the rationale:
__________________________________________________________________________
THE SOLUTIONS PROJECT
100% Renewable Energy
Hover over the map to see future projected energy mix. Click to launch an interactive experience showcasing the benefits of a transition to 100% clean, renewable energy.
I guess Rule not having a clue, is why he’s a billionaire and heavily invested in Alterra!
Bingo!
Made any money on it……….
WAS a $2 stock , now .32cents………..
sharp as a tack……………lol
I was wondering if anyone had done any research on it is all. There is now doubt the share price has taken a beating. I don’t own any shares but was considering starting to nibble at it.
Alterra seems to be on sale,and I remember Marin Katusa bought millions of shares somewhat recently. I can think of many gold and silver miners that have the exact same type of charts right now. Buy em’ when they’re cheap.
Here are some excerpts from Marin Katusa’s article on renewable energy and he does plug Alterra as his choice at the end. I’ve also heard him recommend the “Global X Yieldco Index” (YLCO), and he gets into that a little bit….
_________________________________________________________________________
Was Obama Right about the Green Dream?
Marin Katusa – Nov 5, 2015
“Technology has allowed us to improve the efficiency of renewable power significantly. Furthermore, with the push towards lower carbon emissions, the cost of electricity generation from coal-fired plants has nearly doubled since 2009. The result is that in many parts of the world, renewable power is as or more competitive than coal fired generation.”
“Solar growth has been exponential in the developing world and most notably in China. The Chinese have grown capacity at a rate of over 4000%; in 2010 they had 788 MWs of PV-generated electricity, in 2014 they had 33GWs, and they are forecast to have over 50GWs by the end of 2015. This will make them the largest solar power producer in the world.”
US: Coal to Gas vs. China: Coal to Green Energy
In the United States the big theme over the last several years was power generation plants substituting natural gas for coal-fired plants. The Chinese, though, look to be jumping straight from coal to renewables, rather than creating an intermediate gas stage. This is a huge win for the international renewable power players.
“The key point to take away from this week’s missive is that when we invest in renewable energy, we have to think long term. We have a tendency to get caught up in analysts’ 12- and 24-month price targets based on short term fluctuations. That’s what is happening to the yield co sector right now. But this lack of a proper perspective begs some questions. Are California and Texas going to stop their solar and wind production? No, they cannot afford to. Is Chinese demand for power slowing? No. If anything it is going to increase more rapidly.
The company I have made my green energy bet on—Alterra Power—doesn’t even fit the true yield co model, since they do not yet pay a dividend. But I believe next year is the year, with a huge new project coming online which will boost EBITDA. There will be ample room to pay a competitive dividend and shareholders will be rewarded handsomely for being in early.”
http://katusaresearch.com/was-obama-right-about-the-green-dream/
Here is one last article where Marin is positive on Alterra as his green energy pick. His endorsement was so strong that I wondered if anyone had any thoughts on it?
________________________________________________________________________
K1.15 Magna Carta, Tuum Est, and the First Edition of The Katusa Report
— Marin Katusa, July 6th 2015
“…..Others fared even worse. Ram Power went from CDN$4 per share to CDN$0.01. Magma, which was over CDN$2 per share, merged with Plutonic Power Corp.—now called Alterra Power Corp.—and it went to a low of CDN$0.30.
Those who know it the best, in this case, definitely love it the least, and for good reason; it’s been an awful place for an investor.
Yet, seven years after my first site visit to one of its projects, I have become a major shareholder in Alterra Power Corp. (AXY.TO)!
This investment journey is definitely worth sharing for all the lessons learned.
I have invested over three times more money into Alterra Power than I had in Nevada Geothermal in 2010, and I think I am going to do quite well with this investment.
I first wrote up and recommended the company at CDN$0.30 in October of 2014.
I have bought millions of shares. My average share price is CDN$0.33.
I am not alone.
The largest shareholder, Ross Beaty, who is also the Chairman of the company, has been buying millions of shares in the open market also, as have his close friends.
Fortune favors the bold. But the markets pay the wise.
I believe that by 2017, this share price will be trading at more than a 100% premium to my first recommendation on the company, meaning it will be over CDN$0.60.
I believe the company will trade at a price of at least CDN$0.75 per share by January 1, 2018.
Let me explain why.
Alterra Power Corp.
Ross Beatty is currently the largest shareholder of Alterra Power and is the Executive Chairman. Alterra Power (AXY) is engaged in the operation, development, and acquisition of renewable power plants across the globe. It operates six power plants totaling 568 MW of capacity, with operations in Canada, Iceland, and the United States, and exploration projects in the US, Chile, Peru, Argentina, and Italy.
I have gone on record numerous times, explaining how and why we are in a resource deflation. Countries are racing each other to devalue their currencies, while commodities are getting cheaper. Both are serious indications that we are in a deflation. However, even in a deflationary market there is always a way to make money.
Alterra has fixed-rate contracts that protect it from deflation. At the same time there are also inflation buffer rates associated to the long life power rates. So, it’s one of the few resource producers that is both deflation- and inflation-protected.
But there is much more to this speculation than that.
The sum of the parts is worth much more than the market is currently valuing the company.
Not to mention, these are the closest type of assets to what I call “infinite royalties…”
I feel the best way to invest in solar is through investing in silver or lithium. Do you know of any profitable lithium producer?
Uranium is a good long term play as well. The problem is its time scale. Other sectors are calculated by years and uranium is by decades.
Hey Dragonite,
For me the two easiest ways to invest in Solar are through the 2 big Solar ETFs
– Guggenheim SOLAR ETF (TAN)
– Van Eck SOLAR ETF (KWT)
Yes, I am interested both Silver and Lithium explorers and producers. Most people have a good hold on the silver miners, but few follow the Lithium producers/explorers. It is also hard to get a great deal of information on them
My favorite old play was on Talison (4th successful Lithium producer) but it got gobbled up by the big 3 companies that control this sector. There are a few other interesting companies out there that may work out:
– Orocobre LTD (OROCF) – They are the 5th company to get into commercial production, but their stock has been pummeled with most commodity and energy stocks, and very few investors noticed that they turned the page into production. I could see them getting bought out down the road.
– Western Lithium (WLCDF) – They have 2 divisions. 1) Organic clay mine which is now in production for specialty drilling equipment for mining and oil. In an recovering Oil market this division will do well. 2) they have a large lithium asset, and a few smaller ones, and made a wise acquisition this year. They are getting ready to the be the 6th Lithium processor. Again like Talison (who did get acquired), and Orocobre (who may get acquired), I think that they will do well stand alone or if they merge with a bigger company.
– Galaxy Resources (GALXF) – They are an Australian company with assets in South America, and Asia. They had a huge lithium processing plant, and plans for a battery plant, but the debt monster got them and pulled the share price down to pennies. Then right as they commissioned the Asian Lithium plant (one of kind in the world) there was tragic death, and everything got shut down for investigations and major expenses. They could not produce what they expected and they went near bankrupt. They sold this Jiangsu plant to Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc earlier this year in April. Then they restructured and have been in a holding pattern.
I expect them to rollback the stock at one point, and start developing the huge resources they have. I could also see them getting taken out.
I actually made a small fortune this year on two occassions on Galaxy where I bought several hundred thousand shares on extreme weakness and sold them on 2 blips higher. I’d definitely wait until they decide how to roll out the new entity.
– I’m keeping my eye on Pure Energy Minerals (HMGLF) as well. They are building their Lithium Pilot plant right now and seem to be moving forward like Western Lithium.
Here’s a quick Lithium list to check out:
Symbol (US ticker) Company Name
ALB Albemarle Corporation
AMLM AMERICAN LITHIUM MINERALS INC
DJIFF DAJIN RESOURCES CORPORATION
FCSMF FOCUS GRAPHITE INC
FLNTF MOSEDA TECHNOLOGIES INC
GALXF GALAXY RESOURCES LTD
HMGLF PURE ENERGY MINERALS LTD
ILHMF INTERNATIONAL LITHIUM CORP
LEXG LITHIUM EXPLORATION GROUP INC
LIEG LI3 ENERGY INC
LIT GLOBAL X LITHIUM
LMRMF LOMIKO METALS INC
LTUM LITHIUM CORPORATION
MSAJF MESA EXPLORATION COR
NMKEF NEMASKA LITHIUM INC
OROCF OROCOBRE LTD MILTON QLD
PKX POSCO
RBEIF RB ENERGY INC
RDNAF RODINA LITHIUM INC
SQM SOCIEDAD QUIMICA Y MINERA DE CHILE S.A.
SRCAF STRIA LITHIUM INC
ULTXF ULTRA LITHIUM INC
WLCDF WESTERN LITHIUM USA CORPOARTION
LHMAF LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP
When my California needs re-shingling I will have solar installed plus a battery system and go off grid.
I have friends that have gone off the grid in solar, or some that are getting partial power for their water heater or garage, etc… from Solar. The upfront cost and delayed gratification is what has kept people away, but those costs are starting to come down, and the efficiency of the fuel cells is starting to rise.
I’m thinking of moving within a year, but have considered adding in some solar on the next house.
Excelsior — Among other lithium plays you missed Houston Lake Mining, a fave of mine. HLM on TSXV, and under HLKMF on the OTC market
Thanks Mr. T. – I’m not familiar with them but will check them out. Much appreciated.
Thanks a lot Excesior
Glad to discuss Solar and Lithium, as other components of the Energy sector.
Best of luck in your investing Dragonite.
Correction to Lithium list up above. I should have deleted Lithium Americas Corp (LHMAF) from that list before posting. I used to own shares of both, but sold my Lithium Amercias into the strength when Western Lithium announced they were buying them out.
I already have shares in Western Lithium, but was playing the arbitrage between the two for a while in Oct/Sept, and forgot to drop it from the list before posting.
_____________________________________________________________________
I continue to be very enthusiastic about some of the things Western Lithium has done right over the last 2 years, and believe they are due for a re-rating by the marketplace soon. They were one of the best performing OTC stocks last year and this year.
Here is their latest press release on the completion of their acquisition of Lithium Americas, and their new lineup of directors:
__________________________________________________________________________
Western Lithium Announces Post-Merger Integration and Organization Update – Appoints New Executive Team and New Director
Nov 17, 2015
Why The Future For Energy Storage Just Got Brighter
By Michael McDonald
Posted on Wed, 25 November 2015
“The energy storage market is rapidly becoming one of the most exciting spaces in all of renewables. Unlike solar, wind, coal, and natural gas power which are all substitute forms of generation, there really is no other mechanism to perform the function of energy storage outside of batteries. There have been various suggestions made about the size and structure of batteries to be used in grid scale storage, but there seems to be little doubt about the need for the storage itself.”
“Recently, a bipartisan group of legislators announced they are forming the Congressional Battery Storage Caucus to help support the industry and persuade colleagues of the importance of passing legislation to aid the emerging market. “Battery storage technology paired with renewables such as wind and solar has the power to transform the energy landscape,” said Rep. Mark Takano (D-CA) at the official Caucus announcement.
The goal of the Caucus is to “promote some good science [and] encourage the continued investment in research” according to Rep. Chris Collins (R-NY). The most likely results from the Caucus are potential for special tax subsidies for the battery storage industry and potentially Federal dollars earmarked for research into the science underlying storage batteries.”
Korea Leading The Way With Ambitious Fuel Cell Project
By Gaurav Agnihotri
Posted on Sun, 15 November 2015
I know petrochina and other companies in china are also working on using solar energy to break down water and then using hydrogen to generate electricity at any time. It is mature now I heard.
Yes, I had heard that as well, but haven’t looked into what companies are deploying this method of energy creation.
Big Zero’s plans and Paris conference.
When is the all clear on oil sector stocks?
When Russia compromises or is defeated.
It all hinges on tomorrow’s OPEC news conference. Nothing is guaranteed of course but stay tuned. We all await the word from the Saudi’s but should not discount comments out of Russia either.
I strongly believe Saudi is the front runner
No, Russia is,,, SA now in Russias court.
Really? I don’t know that. They were cursing Russia just a couple of weeks ago.
Russia is desperately trying to raise oil/gas price. They even willing to go to war for it.
Excelsior Thanks, I’m interested for sure.
George Soros The (Scumbag) has open a position in Peabody Coal. Any thoughts?
Coal is big in INDIA…………..because it is cheap.
India will have the world’s third biggest economy by 2025.
TOILETS will be going gang busters………635million without toilets……
My goodness, how can we flush in on this trade….. I want to own the company shares that manufactures toilets.
start a ceramics shop……..some china powder and some clay and we are in business, and hook a wind mill on for the biomess …………….
gross….. 🙂
gross profits…………… 🙂
We should create a slush fund and dump it into our other venture for Precious Metals Depends.
“Whether Gold is explosive, or taking a dump……. You won’t want to look at precious metal charts without wearing Precious Metals Depends”
—- (my preferred spokesperson = Turd Ferguson)
ditto…….or doodoo
Jerry …Go long toilets …You will be flush with successes.
….and come up a with a hot and steamy company name for your IPO like……..
“Mud Dragon Resources”
….Out Of The Box – Into the Bowl……
I feel they should think twice about it. Unless they don’t want to develop manufacturing sector. Go to North China they will know it is not a good idea. China is three times larger in space.The problem will be acute if they follow China’s foot step.
World’s two biggest miners walking away from coal, but they are not telling
Cecilia Jamasmie | December 2, 2015
“BHP Billiton (ASX:BHP) (LON:BLT) and Rio Tinto (LON, ASX:RIO), the world’s largest and second biggest mining companies respectively, have been steadily cutting their exposure to thermal coal over the past two years, but without making any big announcements about it……”
http://www.mining.com/worlds-two-biggest-miners-walking-away-from-coal-but-they-are-not-telling/
I’m not a huge fan of Coal. That article about BHP Billiton & Rio Tinto is the “Canary in the Coal Mine,” and is what started the discussion on yesterdays Chris T. blog.
Coal is under too much press from environmentalist, which has created political pressure to oppose it, and the legislation being passed or discussed at things like this most recent Paris summit is not going to do coal any favors. Having said that, we discussed yesterday that there are still a number of well run Coal companies that will rebound nicely. Right now the cheap Oil is like a wet blanket on the energy space.
Personally I’m more interested in Oil, Uranium, Green Energy, and even Lithium for batteries, and hydro fuel cells over Coal.
btw.EX…if, I forget………..thanks for all your hard work, appreciate….
Yeah, I like the discussion. Energy is a big topic, and we normally just focus on Oil as it is the King of Commodities. Some of these other energy stories are interesting to check in on every so often.
ditto….agree
U.S Unlikely To Propose More Nuclear Power In Paris Talks
By Llewellyn King – Mon, 23 November 2015
“If the Obama administration were as concerned with the reduction in greenhouse gasses, particularly carbon, as it says it is, it would not have given the back of its hand to nuclear power. Nuclear produces a lot of electricity and no greenhouse gasses. Zero.”
“Yet the administration, yearning for a carbon-free future, has done nothing to address the temporary market imbalance that cheap natural gas has produced. Get this: a nuclear plant has a life of 60 years, and new ones may last 80 years. What we have now is a short-term price advantage in natural gas forcing the closure of nuclear plants, even though gas will cost more over the decades.”
“The administration leans heavily toward wind and solar power, understandably against coal and almost ignores nuclear. For example, nuclear does not get the support it deserves in the Environmental Protection Agency’s Clean Power Plan: its blueprint for carbon reduction.”
“The administration declares itself in love with innovation and has offered partial funding for new, small modular power plants. But it does this without regard to the dysfunctional nature of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. This bureaucracy is so risk- averse that it has priced new reactors out of the possibility of being built in the United States. Because the NRC is a fee-collecting agency, it is estimated that to license a brand new reactor — a better, safer, cheaper reactor — would cost $1billion and 10 years of hearings and submissions. That is a preposterous inhibitor of American invention.”
“Yes, something big is going to happen in Paris: Those big polluting nations, China and India, but especially China, are going to lay out their ambitious plans to reduce carbon — with nuclear.”
“Champions of the president will cheer Paris as a big part of his legacy, but his achievement is less than it should be. And nuclear power, like so much else that America led the world in, is headed overseas where it will evolve and probably flourish as the carbon-free champion of the future.”
China Could Become Global Leader In Nuclear Tech
By Charles Kennedy – Thu, 19 November 2015
“Chinese President Xi Jingping wrapped up a state visit to the United Kingdom at the end of October, in which he inked a deal with the UK to help build nuclear reactors in England. The deal will see the China General Nuclear Power Corporation acquire a 33.5 percent stake in the Hinkley Point nuclear power plant. The power plant could be the most expensive reactor ever built and although it will be constructed years behind schedule, it could provide 7 percent of electricity for the UK.”
“Even before that project has received a final investment decision – expected by the end of the year – China is shopping its nuclear technology around the world. Chinese media reported on November 17 that China reached an agreement with Argentina that would lead to the construction of a nuclear reactor in the South American nation. The deal could lead to $4.7 billion in nuclear technology exports for China. A second state-owned firm, China National Nuclear Corp. (a joint venture partner in the UK projects) will build the reactor, Argentina’s fourth. The design is similar to the Canada Deuterium Uranium (often known as Candu) technology.”
“But China and Argentina are mulling a second reactor, and that one would use a Chinese design called Hualong-1. China hopes this design can eventually compete globally with American reactor designs. For now, nuclear reactor designs are dominated by companies like America’s Westinghouse, France’s Areva and EDF, and the American-Japanese alliance GE-Hitachi. But while nuclear reactor construction has almost dried up entirely in the West, China has plans to build 110 nuclear power plants over the next 15 years. That could allow it to transform into a nuclear technology exporter, and these early deals are meant to pave the way towards that dream.”
What do you mean “China could”. They have the pebble reactor design, which won’t suffer meltdown.
Yeah, I didn’t write the article, but my thoughts are Charles Kennedy was making a “forward looking statement” and wanted to be cautious.
I think it is clear that China is actively moving towards nuclear construction with a number of countries. However, Westinghouse and GE are the market leaders in reactors that have been built. France is really big on nuclear and that is why Areva is such a global player. Russia is also courting countries, and that is why it was big news about them pulling out of their deal to build Turkey a new reactor. I am guessing China is knocking on their door right now……
Soros was not in Peabody by the end of the third quarter. If you look at his 9/30 13-F he sold both his stakes in BTU and ACI. Leon Black of Apollo also sold his stakes and bought a boatload of puts in BTU and ACI in the third quarter. Be careful what you read and trying to follow these guys. Soros and Black have both been short coal and other material companies for several years. Soros only purchased about $2M worth of shares in these companies recently and Black even less, which isn’t even a fraction of a percent of their total funds.
These guys both purchased shares at the end of the second quarter for a reason. Once their second quarter 13-Fs were released and the media reported these positions, it caused massive short squeezes in both of these companies. This enabled at least Black to purchase large put positions in both once the squeeze ran its course (and possibly Soros but he doesn’t report his options positions). It also created additional liquidity for these guys to buy back more shares to cover their shorts from the knuckleheads who piled on during the squeeze and were desperate to get out once they turned. Clean and efficient way to close their equity shorts and double down with puts while also selling their tiny long positions for a profit into the squeeze.
How are they currently positioned in Coal names? We won’t know until they release their next 13Fs in February.
Great information Steve. Yes those big players like Soros and Black have the resources and media interest to ride up their manufactured short squeeze, and then short it back down. I agree that they’ve been mostly short on coal for a while.
Cory, what the ECB did was MASSIVELY short of what the markets had priced in. It wasn’t a little away from expectations, it was huge. Goldman was calling for a 3% DROP in the euro off the ECB bazooka…oops, instead euro UP 3%.
This is a crazy thought.
Is December rate hike priced as well?
It would seem so.
“I don’t know”?? Nicely said Chris (but your future as a talking head will be diminished 😉
because he’s honest……
GOLD ON A ROLL………….UP $11
Did the cartel take a late lunch today? How could that be happening?
good one………….OUT TO LUNCH………
US Lawmaker Sees “Ample Evidence Of Turkey’s Complicity In ISIS’s Murderous Rampage”
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/03/2015 – 13:40
“When Russia courageously stepped into the breach we should have been applauding its willingness to confront ISIS. Instead, we continue to denigrate Russians as if they were still the Soviet Union and Putin, not Islamic terrorists, our most vicious enemy.”
a little duplicitous..
Kenneth O’Keefe, former U.S. Marine
Kenneth O’Keefe, former U.S. Marine
Massive Censorship Is Coming…
TND Editor’s Note: Per usual, when Ken O’Keefe is interviewed, fireworks ensue. This interview was produced and broadcast by PRESS-TV out of Iran. O’Keefe ascribes greater responsibility to Israel than the reality of Israel’s role in building ISIS. Israel has played a role; do not misunderstand my point. But they don’t control ISIS, nor did they play a primary role in building ISIS. They only played a supporting role, helping treat wounded terrorists, and Israel helped with training and logistical support. The primary actors have been Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the U.K. and the U.S. — with allied Gulf monarchy dictatorship nations coughing up money and logistical support as well (particularly given American bases in the region).
It should also be noted that ISIS now has a certain degree of autonomy. It’s hard to know just how much of an independent “quasi-state” ISIS has become. But the group does have it’s own “organic” interests now. None other than Webster Tarpley argues that ISIS is now lashing out against the West because Russia’s entry into the Syrian war theater has sent ISIS down the road to total destruction. There’s truth to this analysis.
My research thus far leads me to conclude that Paris is an example of a “hybrid model.” There are elements of Western involvement/facilitation that point in the direction of a false flag, and there is also evidence that one would expect to see from an organic “let it happen on purpose” facilitated “quasi-blowback.” I will have more on this in the near future.
Massive Censorship Is Coming
It should also be noted that this type of open conversation from a media program produced in Iran is exactly the sort of program that will soon vanish from the internet because the United States is going to do the exact same thing France has done, blocking access to content deemed too controversial and against the interests of the blocking nation. That will happen following the next big terrorist attack on U.S. soil, and that could very well be just part of a “reaction” –> “solution” that will darn near kill the once great Constitutional Republic. What happened to me on Facebook is just the start.
For now, see: http://thenewsdoctors.com/facebook-censors-eric-dubin-managing-editor-the-news-doctors/
More on that subject soon… – Eric Dubin, Managing Editor, The News Doctors
If only the US would monitor/restrict ISIS use of Facebook and other media. They might actually stop some terrorism!
If only the U.S. would profile Islamists!
And just because the Israel Secret Intelligence Service has the initials ISIS does mean it is the ISIS.
ad when they take you away…
You actually believe in the War on Terror, CFS?
If only if only if only. If only the US wouldn’t have stirred up the whole jihadi mess in the first place, and would stop slaughtering innocents from North Africa to Pakistan. If only we would buy oil in the market, rather than try to control a resource that isn’t ours.
Your way leads to totalitarianism because short of that it can’t work.
Never mind the obvious Orwellian nature of the Forever War on Terror.
I’ve said it before and I will say it again. Chris is a temple of wisdom!
And here is a good editorial by Bill Gross
Bill Gross thinks Fed, ECB are ‘casinos’ printing money
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bill-gross-thinks-fed-ecb-are-casinos-printing-money-2015-12-03?dist=countdown
well, it only took him 10 yrs. to figure it out…….that is what we call sharp …..lol
Putin wants Russia to become world’s biggest exporter of Non-GMO food
Published time: 3 Dec, 2015 15:08Edited time: 3 Dec, 2015 15:35
Get short URL
© Aleksandr Kondratuk
© Aleksandr Kondratuk / Sputnik
Russia could become the world’s largest supplier of ecologically clean and high-quality organic food, said President Vladimir Putin on Thursday. He also called on the country to become completely self-sufficient in food production by 2020.
“We are not only able to feed ourselves taking into account our lands, water resources – Russia is able to become the largest world supplier of healthy, ecologically clean and high-quality food which the Western producers have long lost, especially given the fact that demand for such products in the world market is steadily growing,” said Putin, addressing the Russian Parliament on Thursday.
According to the President, Russia is now an exporter, not an importer of food.
“Ten years ago, we imported almost half of the food from abroad, and were dependent on imports. Now Russia is among the exporters. Last year, Russian exports of agricultural products amounted to almost $20 billion – a quarter more than the revenue from the sale of arms, or one-third the revenue coming from gas exports,” he said.
Putin said that all this makes Russia fully capable of supplying the domestic market with home-grown food by 2020.
In September, the Kremlin decided against producing food products containing genetically modified organisms (GMOs).
What Russia is doing is incredible.
Everyone around the world are starting to have more respect for Putin and Russia then they are for Obama and America! Looks like they have figured all of our fantastic lies out!
Living abroad, my experience is that most ex-pats I meet, people from all over North and South America and Europe, have a pretty good understanding of what is going on.
I do meet a few ex-pats who are blind–generally people highly invested in the status quo via their career.
But this is an international crowd. Stay-at-home Americans still seem largely clueless, and I would guess this must apply to English, French, Germans, and many others as well, or the crazy abuses could not be happening. Yes they may be slowly waking up, but they are a light year behind the curve and thus will continue to be easy targets for the psychos in charge.
I have a theory about that GH. People like ourselves who left and never returned are media-isolated to a great extent. For the most part we cannot connect with the 500 channel universe back home and don’t much much exposure to the usual news noise that crowds out normal thinking processes. Other than the few big networks like CNN and BBC that seem to be available everyone on planet earth we are left to draw our own conclusions from the news-feeds we use that are mostly internet based. Its just a theory of course. Have you noticed though how many people living abroad do so much of the writing and analysis on markets? It is a very large proportion of internet blogs and newsletter sites that are run by expats from a wide variety of places. Kind of curious. Maybe its just the kind of personality that goes along with those who left their home countries. They seem more engaged and aware of what is taking place in the world.
I think your last couple of sentences nail it.
I could get cable and watch American TV if I wanted, but I’ve never been much of a TV watcher. The less I watch, the more insulting it feels when I do look at it.
Another aspect, maybe, is that humans are herd animals. When I’m in the US the mass mind consensus of normalcy is so overpowering, I can see how easy it would be to fall into the mass delusion. Even when I lived there, I went against the herd, but it’s much easier to do from outside.
And, of course, the internet has changed everything.
Excellent point GH. That herd behavior and North America day to day are so entirely at odds with how things are in Africa. Back home always seems so rude and judgmental. People are quick to fight and slow to forgive. Over here on the other hand people are generally much more compassionate, tolerant and patient. It is cultural. They are polite with one another and old fashioned values are not old at all because they are the normal way of life. Once you slow down and accept the pace its OK to spend a few minutes greeting people each day as though you had not seen them in a week. It is about a foreign as it gets for anyone more familiar with the usual daily American aggression people back home inflict on one another throughout their lives.
I read somewhere Mark that 25% of the American population now thinks their government is “the enemy”. That was this year, I wonder what people thought in say 1900.
In any case, I don’t know if 25% is enough to cause any kind of change, maybe more jails built?
GET READY……………….BIG SMASH IN GOLD COMING UP!!!!!!!!!!!
Not today Mark. We are already looking at a breakout on the hourly chart. Silver has turned bullish too. I have a warm fuzzy feeling. This will be a good day.
Oh, don’t get me wrong my computer algo’s on my programs are still flashing green for gold……………but you know how these boys play!
Here’s my current readout for the metals GOLD: $1344 SILVER: $20.93
Both up and flashing green!
That was your bottom this morning, Mark. We just left it behind. Both metals just turned bullish and it does look like they are off to the races so the awaited bounce should now be underway. I am buying. It is seasonally early but this makes sense given that miners have already been hot since mid November and all mine are very nicely thus far. I am projecting a rise to just shy of 1200 right now but need to do a little more calculating to feel sure.
Gold is now up 3.5% since hitting 1045 two days ago. Moments ago we hit 1082 and rising. That’s 37 dollars trough to peak. Kind of a big deal. If this is THE bounce just keep in mind most of the gains for miners will come in the first few days.
Crude oil on the other hand! Well, it sure looks to me that the market got front run and bad news is coming out of OPEC in the next hour because it took a big fat belly dive off the high board just a little while back.
Did you see in the jobs report as to how many miners were laid off last month………..it was 11,000!
…..and watch oil, it’s going down further!
Listen………..I totally agree with you, I mention to you what my computer program reads, gold is going up, and yes it will break 1100 and move towards 1200! It should be way past that mark for now…….but these clowns will do anything to save the system!
All they have left is gold and the stock market and soon, very soon they wont have gold, hell they are out of it now!!!!!!!!!!!
The market believes that rising gold signals inflation. So in this case it would actually suit the Fed to have rising gold as that will offset concerns that a hike will bring deflation. Rising gold goes hand in hand with a falling dollar. In fact, the bigger the gold bounce the better right now. Meanwhile, most doubt that the dollar will keep declining. Keep in mind that the dollar took a major dive yesterday but the market suspects we get a bounce back. If gold takes off it will act as a confirmation that the dollars fall will stick.
Yes gold will go up as the dollar falls but keep in mind if the fed raises rates the dollar will go up!
These prices are as of the October rally!
WOW !!!!!!…………….I will admit gold is really moving as it should be!
Up $23.
…….and still moving!
Now up $26…………WTF!
The boys over there must have read my notes on here this morning!
The miners are up nicely too. I’m having a green day.
“diverse investment topics”………….how about.. “how to invest in used fishing rods and lures”………….